New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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The Toronto Blue Jays will play host to their division nemesis New York Yankees at Rogers Centre. The game gets underway 3:07 p.m. ET and YES Network will be televising the action.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

New York (receiving -165) is entering this game as the favorite over Toronto (+155) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 11 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Yankees -1.5 runs (-115) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-105).

The Blue Jays are 59-59 against the spread (ATS), but just 48-71 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 13.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.7 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 76-40 SU and have gone 71-44 against the spread. Overall, the club has accumulated 18.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 30.8 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 57-56-5 in 2019. The Yankees have been a great over bet with a total record of 65-46-4.

The right-handed Chad Green is projected to start for New York. Green is 2-3 with a 4.93 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays are handing the ball to righty Jacob Waguespack (3-1, 4.00 ERA), who has 28 strikeouts and 10 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.31. Waguespack has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record any MLB appearances last season.

Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 5.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.28, a WHIP of 1.51 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.15 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 52 games against AL East opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 5.30 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.72.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .237/.282/.520 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Galvis is slashing .271/.303/.451 with 18 home runs, 54 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Grichuk is hitting .238 with 20 homers, 52 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.79 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.82, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 9.91.

The Yankees offense has slashed .272/.348/.487 on its way to 6.0 runs scored per game this year, including 6.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 9.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

New York’s offensive production has been fueled by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres, who collectively have swatted 41 home runs. LeMahieu is slashing .340/.387/.536 with 18 home runs, 79 RBIs and 81 runs scored, while Torres is hitting .281/.347/.505 with 23 homers, 62 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 16.6 units and are 49-30 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 18.3 units and are 38-41 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under.

Yankees at Blue Jays Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • New York has tallied 36 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Toronto has 24 XBH over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 30 home runs in their last 10 games, including 21 over their last five.
  • The Yankees have a team OPS of .835 this season and an OPS of .833 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS sits at .729 overall and .726 versus righties.
  • Toronto has recorded 25.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.