DJ LeMahieu and the surging New York Yankees will head across the state to square off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. This interleague showdown will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Pix11 to catch the action.
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Odds
Bookmakers have the Mets (+135) as the underdog to The Yankees (-145). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go below 10 runs, then Vegas is offering -115 odds for the under. Playing the over can give you -105 odds. There’s a runline of Yankees -1.5 (+100) and Mets +1.5 (-120) for this matchup.
The Mets are 38-47 straight up (SU) and 40-45 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 16.4 units for moneyline bettors and 12.1 units ATS. They have a 3-4 ATS mark over their last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees are 54-28 SU and have gone 47-35 against the spread. Overall, the team’s accumulated 12.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.1 units ATS. covered the spread four times in their last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 47-30-8 so far in 2019. The Yankees have also been a good over bet with a total record of 46-33-3.
James Paxton is getting the start for the visiting Yankees. The left-handed Paxton (5-3, 4.34 ERA) has racked up 81 strikeouts in 64.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with a 20.25 ERA against the Mets this year.
The Mets are sending righty Zack Wheeler (6-5, 4.51 ERA) to the mound. Wheeler has 115 strikeouts and 31 walks as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Wheeler is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA in one start against the Yankees this year.
the Yankees’ pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and their starting pitchers own a 4.33 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.11, along with a K-per-9 of 10.00.
Yankees hitters have slashed .267/.345/.466 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 8.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 10.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
New York’s offense has been fueled by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is slashing .345/.392/.534 with 12 home runs, 61 RBIs and 62 runs scored. Torres has a .295 average with 19 homers, 47 RBIs and 54 runs scored.
In the other dugout, the Mets’ pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season. Their starters have an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.64 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
New York’s offense has put up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .251/.309/.385 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have led the Mets’ offense this year. McNeil is hitting .348/.412/.509 with six home runs, 34 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Alonso’s line sits at .278/.372/.627 with 28 homers, 64 RBIs and 54 runs.
The Yankees have gained 13.4 units and are 36-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 1.7 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to seven which went under the total.
Yankees at Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- New York has tallied 27 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Yankees have won 13 of their last 14 games SU.
- Yankees fielders have seven errors over the last five games, compared to only two errors for the Mets over their last five.
- The Yankees have hit 23 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Yankees have a team OPS of .811 this season and an OPS of .840 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .761 overall and .740 against righties.
