The New York Yankees are set to do battle against their divisional rival Boston Red Sox in a Sunday showdown. The action is going to be televised nationally on ESPN. The game gets underway 7:08 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds
New York (receiving +160) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-170) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -135 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +115 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.
The Red Sox are 59-47 straight up (SU) and 46-59 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 15.6 units for moneyline bettors and 19.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Yankees are 66-38 SU and have gone 61-42 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 11.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 21.9 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in all seven of them.
Boston games have a 61-41-3 over/under record in 2019. The Yankees have also been a good over bet with a total record of 56-43-4.
The right-handed Domingo German will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. German (12-2, 4.03 ERA) has recorded 98 strikeouts in 91.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox will put the ball in the left hand of Chris Sale (5-9, 4.00 ERA, 1.08 WHIP), who has 182 strikeouts and 32 walks. Sale is 0-2 with 16 strikeouts and a 6.55 ERA across two starts against New York this year.
As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.70, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.56 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 10.8 K/9. In 51 games against divisional foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 4.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.55.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.8 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 9.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .356/.386/.670 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .329/.381/.579 with 21 home runs, 82 RBIs, 85 runs and eight steals, while Bogaerts has put up a line of .313/.396/.573 with 23 homers, 81 RBIs and 83 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.77 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.93 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.89, along with a K-per-9 of 10.00.
Yankees hitters have slashed .270/.346/.473 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s offense. LeMahieu is slashing .332/.382/.517 with 15 home runs, 71 RBIs and 74 runs scored. Torres (.294/.362/.510) is up to 20 homers, 55 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Yankees have lost 4.6 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 5.6 units and are 34-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, as opposed to 30 that’ve gone under.
Yankees at Red Sox MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- New York has logged 29 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Boston has 35 XBH over its last five.
- The Yankees have an OPS of .819 this season, including an OPS of .759 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .826 overall and .783 against lefties.
- The Red Sox have won five of their last six games SU.
- New York has recorded 30.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 33.8 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 22 over their last 10.
