The Baltimore Orioles will play host to their division rival New York Yankees at Oriole Park. YES Network is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (+225) is the huge home-team underdog against New York (-250) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Yankees -1.5 runs (-160) and Orioles +1.5 runs (+140).
The Orioles are 38-75 straight up (SU) and 49-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.9 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Yankees have gone 74-39 SU this year and are 69-44 ATS. In total, the club has gained 16.8 units for moneyline bettors and 28.8 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 57-47-9 in 2019. The Yankees have also been a great over bet with a total record of 63-46-4.
Southpaw James Paxton will get the nod for the visiting Bronx Bombers. Paxton is 6-6 with a 4.61 ERA and 123 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 4.09 ERA against Baltimore this year (two starts).
The Orioles will turn to lefty John Means (8-6, 3.12 ERA), who has 78 strikeouts and 27 walks, along with a 1.14 WHIP. Means is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA against New York this year.
Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.50 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.01 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 52 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.82.
Baltimore’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .253/.340/.452 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini. Villar is slashing .268/.331/.441 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 75 runs and 24 stolen bases, while Mancini is batting .278 with 26 homers, 64 RBIs and 73 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.77 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.86 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.80, along with a K/9 of 9.87.
Yankees hitters have slashed .271/.347/.482 on their way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is hitting .336/.385/.534 with 18 home runs, 76 RBIs and 78 runs scored. Torres is hitting .281/.347/.505 with 23 homers, 62 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 0.2 units and are 20-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 1.2 units and are 17-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.
Yankees vs. Orioles Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of New York’s last seven outings.
- The Yankees have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games, including 17 over their last five.
- The Yankees have an OPS of .829 this season, including an OPS of .813 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .716 overall and .726 against southpaws.
- New York has posted 26.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 32.0 over its last five.
