New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Betting Preview

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Amed Rosario and the New York Mets will be taking the field versus their NL East rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in a Wednesday showdown. The game gets going at 1:05 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on YouT.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals Odds

Sportsbooks have Washington (-115) as the favorite over New York (+105). You can play matchup’s total with current odds sitting at -110 for over 10 runs and -110 for under 10. This game currently has a runline of Mets +1.5 (-200) and Nationals -1.5 (+170).

The Mets have gone 70-68 SU this year and are 70-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.6 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 78-59 SU and 77-59 ATS. They’ve gained 0.6 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Washington games have an over/under record of 65-64-7 in 2019. New York has been a good over bet with a total record of 69-56-12.

Zack Wheeler will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Wheeler (9-7, 4.41 ERA) has racked up 160 punchouts in 161.1 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with 21 strikeouts and a 7.94 ERA against Washington this year (four starts).

The Nationals are sending righty Anibal Sanchez (8-6, 3.80 ERA) to the mound. Sanchez has 116 strikeouts and 52 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.32. Sanchez is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA over two starts against New York this year.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.14 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.19, along with a K-per-9 of 9.57.

The Mets offense has slashed .257/.328/.437 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Jeff McNeil continue to lead New York’s hitters. Rosario is hitting .285/.322/.430 with 12 home runs, 58 RBIs, 65 runs and 15 stolen bases. McNeil has a .323 average with 18 homers, 62 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.79 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 60 games against NL East foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.32.

Washington’s hitters have produced 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .277/.337/.566 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Nationals’ offense has been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and left fielder Juan Soto. Rendon is slashing .338/.417/.637 with 32 home runs, 112 RBIs and 105 runs scored, and Soto’s line sits at .299/.406/.583 with 32 homers, 98 RBIs, 97 runs and 12 stolen bases.

The Mets have lost 0.9 units and are 52-51 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 55 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 0.8 units and are 57-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under.

Mets vs. Nationals Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven outings.
  • The Nationals have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Washington has posted 26.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 15 home runs over their last 10 outings.
  • The Mets have an OPS of .765 this season and an OPS of .753 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .800 overall and .783 against righties.