The New York Mets will be facing off against the Pittsburgh Pirates in a Saturday night game. SportsNet New York will be showing this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (+120) is the home-team underdog to New York (-130) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Mets -1.5 runs (+115) and Pirates +1.5 runs (-135).
The Mets have gone 53-56 SU this year and are 55-53 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.2 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 48-61 SU and 54-54 ATS. They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 11.4 units ATS.
Pirates games have a 60-42-6 over/under record in 2019. Mets games have gone over 56 times, gone under 43 times and pushed on nine occasions.
Marcus Stroman will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Stroman is 6-11 with a 2.96 ERA and 99 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chris Archer (3-8, 5.58 ERA), who has 116 strikeouts and 51 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.44. Archer is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 5.14 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.70 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Pittsburgh’s offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .264/.344/.483 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Marte is hitting .285/.327/.501 with 19 home runs, 64 RBIs, 76 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Bell’s line sits at .284/.365/.585 with 27 homers, 89 RBIs and 75 runs.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.09 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.24, along with a K/9 of 9.20.
Mets hitters have slashed .252/.325/.428 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
New York’s offense has been powered by outfielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .331/.393/.504 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 55 runs scored. Rosario (.276/.316/.438) is up to 11 homers, 47 RBIs, 49 runs and 12 stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 8.6 units and are 39-43 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 0.2 units and are 43-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 43 of those games, as opposed to 34 which went under the total.
Mets vs. Pirates MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in only two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Mets have an OPS of .753 this season and an OPS of .737 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .753 overall and .777 against righties.
- Pittsburgh has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 12 over their last 10.
