The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the New York Mets at Citizens Bank Park. The action will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast the game.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (-130) as the favorite over New York (+120). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over nine runs and -110 for under nine. The game’s current runline odds stand at -175 for picking the Mets +1.5 runs and +155 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 69-63 straight up (SU) and 61-71 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 4.6 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, have gone 67-66 SU this year and are 67-65 ATS. In total, the club has lost 7.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Phillies games have had an over/under record of 63-65-4 in 2019. The Mets have been a good over bet with a total record of 67-53-12.
The right-handed Zack Wheeler is the projected starter for the visiting Mets. Wheeler is 9-7 with a 4.46 ERA and 156 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 30 strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Philadelphia this year (four starts).
The Phillies are planning to start righty Aaron Nola (12-4, 3.53 ERA), who has 187 strikeouts and 62 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Nola is 1-0 with 22 strikeouts and a 3.06 ERA across three starts against New York this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.62 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 55 games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.91 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.51.
The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .296/.364/.543 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .284/.335/.400 with eight home runs, 57 RBIs and 61 runs scored, and Segura is batting .286 with 11 homers, 53 RBIs and 70 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.01 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.98, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 9.59.
Mets hitters have slashed .256/.328/.435 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil, who’ve collectively launched 28 home runs. Rosario is hitting .288/.326/.438 with 12 home runs, 56 RBIs, 63 runs and 15 steals, while McNeil (.330/.397/.530) is up to 16 homers, 57 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 2.1 units and are 50-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 3.5 units and are 47-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 47 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under.
Mets at Phillies MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven games.
- Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 games.
- The Mets have a total OPS of .762 this season and an OPS of .753 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .751 overall and .743 against righties.
- Philadelphia has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.6 over its last five.
