The New York Mets are preparing to do battle against their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies in a Wednesday night game. The action will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (receiving -130 odds) is hosting this one as the favorite over New York and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 11 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -175 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +155 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 41-38 straight up (SU) and 37-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 5.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, have gone 37-43 SU this year and are 37-42 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 12.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.9 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 37-39-2 so far in 2019. New York has been a strong over bet with a total record of 44-28-7.
Jason Vargas will get the start for New York. The southpaw Vargas is 3-3 with a 3.75 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Nick Pivetta (4-2, 5.54 ERA, 1.45 WHIP), who has 45 strikeouts and 15 walks this season. Pivetta is 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against New York this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.61 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 35 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.21.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .273/.352/.517 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Hernandez is slashing .283/.336/.433 with seven home runs, 35 RBIs and 36 runs scored, and Segura’s line is .273/.320/.443 with eight homers, 32 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.43 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.48, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.27.
Mets hitters have slashed .255/.330/.436 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso continue to lead New York’s hitters. McNeil is hitting .348/.410/.498 with five home runs, 28 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Alonso (.279/.370/.634) is up to 27 homers, 61 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 9.3 units and are 27-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 34 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 7.3 units and are 10-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under.
Mets at Phillies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Mets have a team OPS of .766 this season and an OPS of .745 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .746 overall and .730 against righties.
- New York has recorded 25.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.2 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
