The New York Mets will head south to Marlins Park to take on their divisional rival Miami Marlins. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be televising the game.
New York Mets at Miami Marlins Odds
New York (-150) is favored over Miami (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at seven runs. Odds for betting on the games total sit at +105 for the under and -125 for the over. You can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds coming in at Mets -1.5 runs (-220) and Marlins +1.5 runs (+200).
The Marlins are 3-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. The team has lost 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.9 units against the spread (ATS). The Mets are 7-1 SU and have gone 6-1 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 5.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 7.0 units ATS.
Miami games have a 4-4 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 3-4.
The Mets have gained 4.4 units and are 5-1 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.1 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in two of those games, as opposed to two which went under the total.
The right-handed Noah Syndergaard (1-0, 5.40 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Mets. Syndergaard struck out 34 hitters in 30 innings last year with only three walks while finishing the season 1-2 overall with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. He made two starts against Miami in 2017 and put together a 1-0 record against the Marlins with a 1.38 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
The Marlins are turning to righty Jose Urena (0-1, 4.91 ERA), who started 28 games last year and finished the season 14-7 overall with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. He made three starts against the Mets a year ago and compiled a 2-1 record with a 2.25 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have yielded 6.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 6.75, a WHIP of 1.81 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In three games against divisional opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 13.97 and the bullpens ERA is 7.63.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.3 runs per outing, including 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .200/.263/.269 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .286/.419/.457 with 10 hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored, while Castro’s line is .297/.409/.351 with 11 hits, four RBIs and six runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .262/.337/.369, Anderson performed well against righty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .303/.425/.455 over 40 such plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 2.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.32 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.62 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 1.31, along with a K/9 of 10.75.
Mets hitters have slashed .253/.359/.404 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including over the teams last five contests (5-0 SU).
New York’s offense has been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Brandon Nimmo. Cabrera is hitting .333/.405/.515 with 11 hits, three RBIs and six runs scored, while Nimmo is hitting .375/.643/.500 with three hits, zero RBIs and four runs scored.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Marlins went 12-7 SU against the Mets in 2017.
- The Mets bullpen posted 3.96 ERA against the Marlins last year.
