The New York Mets are making a road trip to Philadelphia to face their NL East nemesis Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. SportsNet New York will broadcast the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (-115) as the favorite over New York (+105). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 7.5 runs and -110 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -200 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +170 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 9-5 straight up (SU) and 6-7 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 1.3 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Mets are 9-6 SU and have gone 9-5 against the spread. Overall, the team’s gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 3.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 9-4 thus far in 2019. The Mets have been a decent over bet with a total record of 10-3-1.
Noah Syndergaard (1-1, 4.74 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Syndergaard recorded 155 strikeouts in 154 innings last year (25 starts) and finished the season 13-4 overall with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. He made four starts against Philadelphia in 2018 and compiled a 1-2 record against the Phillies with a 5.75 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
The Phils will be turning to righty Aaron Nola (1-0, 6.46 ERA), who recorded 224 strikeouts in 212 innings last year (with only 58 walks). Nola finished the season 17-6 overall with a 2.37 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. He made six starts against the Mets a year ago and registered a 4-0 record with a 2.15 ERA and 46 strikeouts.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.76 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 11 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 5.24 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.86.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 5.6 runs per contest, including 5.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .228/.320/.378 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Segura is hitting .317/.369/.467 with 19 hits, nine RBIs and 12 runs scored, and Hoskins has put up a line of .294/.438/.667 with five homers, 16 RBIs and 13 runs.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.71 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.80 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 6.50, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
Mets hitters have slashed .268/.355/.442 on their way to 6.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Pete Alonso and right fielder Michael Conforto have led New York’s offense. Alonso is slashing .345/.419/.800 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Conforto is hitting .328/.435/.603 with three homers, nine RBIs and 13 runs scored.
The Mets have gained 2.5 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.9 units and are 6-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to four that’ve gone under.
Mets at Phillies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in five of New York’s last seven games.
- The Mets have a total OPS of .797 this season and an OPS of .781 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .795 overall and .801 against righties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 22 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 10 over their last 10.
