The New York Mets will be taking on their divisional foe Miami Marlins in a Saturday showdown. The game gets underway 6:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will be televising the action.
New York Mets at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (receiving +140 odds) is stepping into this one as an underdog to New York and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -105 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -115 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Marlins are 44-44 against the spread (ATS), but just 34-55 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 2.2 units for moneyline bettors and 9.4 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mets are 40-51 SU and have gone 41-49 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 18.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 15.9 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 38-44-6 so far in 2019. New York has been a great over bet with a total record of 50-32-8.
Noah Syndergaard will get the nod for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Syndergaard is 6-4 with a 4.68 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of Zac Gallen (0-1, 4.50 ERA), who’s got 16 punchouts and five walks, along with a WHIP of 1.42. Gallen hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not appear in the majors in 2018.
Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.87 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.89 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 47 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.81.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .277/.330/.452 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by first baseman Miguel Rojas and second baseman Starlin Castro. Rojas is hitting .292/.348/.370 with 90 hits, 27 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Castro’s line sits at .245/.272/.341 with six homers, 35 RBIs and 24 runs.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.51 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.16 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.64, along with a K-per-9 of 9.36.
The Mets offense has slashed .254/.327/.429 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso continue to lead New York’s offense. McNeil is slashing .348/.407/.505 with seven home runs, 36 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Alonso is hitting .277/.371/.628 with 30 homers, 68 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 1.0 units and are 30-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Mets vs. Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in four of New York’s last seven contests.
- The Mets have lost four of their last five games SU.
- Miami has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 11 over their last 10.
