Amed Rosario and the New York Mets are set to do battle against the Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium in a Sunday showdown. SportsNet New York will be showing this interleague showdown and the action gets underway at 2:15 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals Odds
Las Vegas has New York (-170) as the favorite over Kansas City (+160). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish below 9.5 runs, then Vegas is putting up -115 odds to play the under. Picking the over can give you -105 odds. This game currently has a runline of Mets -1.5 (-120) and Royals +1.5 (+100).
The Mets have gone 63-60 SU this year and are 62-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.2 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Royals, on the other hand, are 44-79 SU and 57-65 ATS. The team’s lost 20.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.7 units ATS. Kansas City has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Royals games have an over/under record of 58-56-8 in 2019. The Mets have been a great over bet with a total record of 63-47-12.
Zack Wheeler will get the nod for New York. The right-handed Wheeler is 9-7 with a 4.36 ERA and 151 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Royals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Royals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Glenn Sparkman (3-8, 5.45 ERA), who’s got 58 strikeouts and 28 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.44. Sparkman did not record a start against the Mets in 2018.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.97 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.14 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.24, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Mets hitters have slashed .257/.329/.437 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil have paced New York’s offense. Rosario is slashing .288/.327/.448 with 12 home runs, 50 RBIs, 59 runs and 15 stolen bases. McNeil has a .332 average with 15 homers, 55 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.09, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.69 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
The Kansas City hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .201/.266/.365 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Royals’ batters have been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and right fielder Jorge Soler. Merrifield is slashing .301/.354/.480 with 14 home runs, 62 RBIs, 83 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Soler’s line is .261/.353/.553 with 35 homers, 88 RBIs and 69 runs.
The Mets have lost 3.6 units and are 46-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 15.9 units and are 42-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 43 of those games, as opposed to 42 that’ve cashed the under.
Mets at Royals Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven contests.
- Kansas City has recorded 17.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.8 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit 18 over their last 10.
- The Mets have an OPS of .766 this season and an OPS of .758 against right-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS stands at .710 overall and .717 against righties.
