Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets are ready to square off against their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park in a Thursday night game. SportsNet New York will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:20 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Las Vegas has Atlanta (-120) as the favorite over New York (+110). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish under 10 runs, then Vegas is teeing up -115 odds. Playing the over will return -105 odds. This game currently has a runline of Mets +1.5 (-190) and Braves -1.5 (+165).
The Braves are 72-50 straight up (SU) and 57-64 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 10.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 6.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Mets have gone 61-59 SU this year and are 61-58 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 5.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Atlanta games have a 62-52-7 over/under record in 2019. The Mets have also been a great over bet with a total record of 62-46-11.
Marcus Stroman will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Stroman (6-11, 3.20 ERA) has recorded 111 strikeouts in 135 innings so far. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and five strikeouts across seven innings).
The Braves will turn to righty Julio Teheran (7-7, 3.35 ERA), who has 126 strikeouts and 63 walks as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Teheran is 1-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 6.08 ERA over three starts against New York this year.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.18, along with a K-per-9 of 9.36.
Mets hitters have slashed .254/.327/.435 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .332/.400/.529 with 15 home runs, 55 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Rosario has a .281 average with 12 homers, 49 RBIs, 55 runs and 14 stolen bases.
For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 52 games against divisional opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.44.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .266/.351/.420 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Braves’ batters have been led by left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. and second baseman Ozzie Albies. Acuna Jr. is slashing .298/.377/.540 with 34 home runs, 82 RBIs, 101 runs and 28 steals, while the line for Albies stands at .299/.353/.503 with 18 homers, 66 RBIs, 78 runs and 11 stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 4.7 units and are 45-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 7.2 units and are 44-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under.
Mets at Braves Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in five of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- Atlanta has posted 26.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 18 over their last 10.
- The Mets have an OPS of .762 this season and an OPS of .751 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .799 overall and .799 versus righties.
