New York Knicks vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction 12/02/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Milwaukee Bucks (17-3) and the New York Knicks (4-16) face off at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are 16-point favorites and are on an 11-game winning streak, while the Knicks have lost six consecutive games. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 220.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 2, 2019.

New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

The Bucks easily got past the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing, 137-96, comfortably covering as 14-point favorites. The Knicks, meanwhile, were beat by the Boston Celtics, 113-104, and failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Milwaukee game went 7 points over the projected point total of 226, while the New York game went 8 points over the projected point total of 209.

Milwaukee played a nearly flawless game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 6.4 (better than their season average of 12.7) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.667 (above their season average of 0.550). For those same stats, Charlotte was 10.3 and 0.441, respectively. New York, on the other hand, did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (26-37; 70.3 percent). Milwaukee’s Robin Lopez played well, contributing 13 points and six rebounds. Julius Randle, meanwhile was a key piece for New York with 26 points and five rebounds.

The Bucks took this series last year, taking three out of four games. In the last contest, Milwaukee won 112-96. One of Milwaukee’s biggest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 17-21 (81.0 percent), while the Knicks were just 11-16 (68.8 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Knicks games have typically gone under the total (68.4 percent). New York holds records of 4-16 straight up (SU) and 9-9-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to New York, games including the Bucks have a tendency to go over the O/U total (55.0 percent). Milwaukee has an excellent 17-3 SU record, but they struggle covering the spread (9-11 ATS).

The productive offense of Milwaukee will square off against the porous defense of New York. The Bucks rank third in offensive efficiency, while the Knicks are 23rd in defensive efficiency. The Bucks figure to have the edge on that side of the ball. Additionally, the Knicks, who rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (25.8 percent), will battle against the Bucks, who rank second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.9 percent).

New York Knicks vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while the Knicks rank 14th (12.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (53.2) while New York ranks last (39.9).
  • The Bucks rank eighth in assists per game (25.4) while the Knicks rank 28th (19.9).
  • Milwaukee ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.3) while New York ranks 21st (4.5).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.4) while New York ranks 18th (44.8).
  • The Bucks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (40.5) while the Knicks rank 27th (29.4).
  • The Bucks average 19.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Knicks rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
  • Milwaukee is second in the league with 6.5 steals allowed per game while New York is fourth with 6.8 steals allowed per game.
  • Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points per game (18.8) while New York ranks 27th (10.3).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, New York is 1-1 and Milwaukee is 4-0.
  • The Bucks are 17-3 when they reach the century mark, while the Knicks are 4-10.
  • Milwaukee is 4-5 ATS at home, while New York is 5-4 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 5 of the Knicks’ 9 road games, while 6 of the Bucks’ 9 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, New York and Milwaukee have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Knicks are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 2-3.
  • During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 100.4 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 15.4, up from 10.8 for the season.