New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction 12/11/19

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The New York Knicks (4-20) visit Chase Center to square off with the Golden State Warriors (5-20). The Knicks are 5-point underdogs and will attempt to put an end to their 10-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 210.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 11, 2019.

New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Knicks (5.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Portland Trail Blazers, 115-87, while the Warriors (3-point favorites) fell to the Memphis Grizzlies, 110-102. The New York game went 7 points under the projected point total of 209, while the Golden State game finished 8.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5.

New York had a better turnover percentage (9.7 vs. 10.7) while Golden State held Memphis to an offensive rebounding percentage of 2.7 (below their season average of 21.9). Golden State’s Alec Burks played well, finishing with 18 points, seven rebounds and six assists. New York, meanwhile, rallied around Bobby Portis, who recorded 11 points and 10 rebounds.

The Warriors dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the last game, Golden State won 122-95. Golden State’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Warriors had 15 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Knicks had nine and 39, respectively. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

Knicks matchups have typically gone under the projected point total (65.2 percent). New York comes into the game with records of 4-20 straight up (SU) and 10-12-1 against the spread (ATS).

Warriors games also tend to finish under the total (56.0 percent). Moreover, Golden State is 5-20 SU and 11-14 ATS.

The physical Golden State offense could be getting to the free throw line a lot in this showdown. The Warriors currently rank eighth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.220, while New York ranks 25th in FTA rate allowed (0.230). Furthermore, the Knicks rank second in offensive rebounding percentage (24.9 percent), while the Warriors rank 24th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.9 percent).

New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Knicks rank 24th in three pointers attempted per game (30.4) while the Warriors rank 28th (28.2).
  • New York ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Golden State ranks 22nd (8.2).
  • The Warriors rank 14th in fast break points per game (13.0) while the Knicks rank 28th (10.5).
  • Golden State ranks 17th in assists per game (23.8) while New York ranks last (19.8).
  • New York averages 4.7 blocks per game, which ranks 19th in the league. Golden State ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
  • The Knicks rank fifth in second chance points per game (14.7) while the Warriors rank 23rd (12.2).
  • The Knicks rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (17.6) while the Warriors rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).
  • New York ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while Golden State ranks 20th (49.4).
  • Golden State is 3-1 when they allow below 100 points, while New York is 1-1.
  • The Warriors are 5-12 when they score above 100 points, while the Knicks are 4-11.
  • Golden State is 4-6 ATS at home, while New York is 5-5 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 5 of the Knicks’ 10 road games, while 6 of the Warriors’ 10 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Warriors are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Knicks are 1-3-1.
  • In their last five games, Golden State has 5 unders, while New York has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.0, up from 9.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 94.8 points per game (5.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 118.6 points per game (7.5 above their season average).