The Golden State Warriors (12-44) welcome the New Orleans Pelicans (24-32) to Chase Center. The Warriors are 8-point underdogs and will attempt to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 238 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 23, 2020.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
The last time the Pelicans played, they defeated the Portland Trail Blazers, 128-115, easily covering as 5.5-point favorites. The Warriors, on the other hand, were thoroughly outplayed by the Houston Rockets, 135-105, and were not able to cover as 10-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The New Orleans game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 238.5, while the Golden State game went 7.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5.
The Pelicans had a ridiculous effective field goal percentage of 0.643 (above their season average of 0.537) and had a free throw rate of 0.238 (above their season average of 0.184). Golden State, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 21.4). Golden State was lifted by Andrew Wiggins, who recorded 22 points. Meanwhile, Zion Williamson played a pivotal role for New Orleans with 25 points.
The Warriors lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 208 points, which was under the projected point total of 221. Golden State won 106-102, covering as a 1.5-point underdog. Golden State was successful at getting and making free throws. The Warriors made 24 of their 25 free throws (96.0 percent), while the Pelicans were just 15-23 (65.2 percent). D’Angelo Russell was the game’s leading scorer with 25 points.
Oddsmakers are known to set the total low when the Pelicans are involved, as 58.9 percent of their games have gone over the total. New Orleans holds records of 24-32 straight up (SU) and 27-25-4 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike New Orleans, just over half of Warriors games have finished under the total. Moreover, Golden State is 12-44 SU and 26-29-1 ATS.
The aggressive Golden State offense might be living from the foul line in this battle. The Warriors currently rank sixth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.213, while New Orleans ranks 21st in FTA rate allowed (0.214). Also, the Pelicans rank 27th in turnover percentage (14.6 percent), while the Warriors rank fifth in opponents’ turnover percentage (14.5 percent).
New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors Odds Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pelicans rank 13th in points in the paint per game (48.2) while the Warriors rank 28th (43.1).
- New Orleans averages 26.5 assists per game, which ranks third in the league. Golden State ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (26.1).
- The Pelicans rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (38.0) while the Warriors rank 25th (30.8).
- Golden State scores 17.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks ninth in the league. New Orleans ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.2).
- New Orleans ranks fifth in fast break points per game (16.6) while Golden State ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
- The Pelicans rank fifth in rebounds per game (46.6) while the Warriors rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.0).
- The Pelicans rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.2) while the Warriors rank 26th (12.0).
- New Orleans ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.2) while Golden State ranks 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
- Golden State ranks sixth in steals per game (8.5) while New Orleans ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, New Orleans is 3-0 and Golden State is 5-2.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Warriors are 12-29 and the Pelicans are 24-29.
- Golden State is 11-15-1 ATS at home, while New Orleans is 13-11-4 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 15 of the Warriors’ 27 home games, while 17 of the Pelicans’ 28 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pelicans are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
- In their last five games, New Orleans has 5 overs, while Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 126.6 points per game (10.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.2 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
- The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 18.8, up from 8.8 for the season.
