The Memphis Grizzlies (20-22) and the New Orleans Pelicans (16-27) go head-to-head at FedExForum. The Grizzlies will attempt to prolong their seven-game winning streak. The game can be seen on TNT at 5 p.m. ET on Monday, January 20, 2020.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds
Although the Pelicans were topped by the Los Angeles Clippers in their last matchup, 133-130, they did cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The Pelicans, on the other hand, topped the Cleveland Cavaliers,113-109, but were not able to cover as 9-point favorites. The New Orleans game finished 22.5 points over the projected point total of 240.5, while the Memphis game went 8 points under the projected point total of 230.
The Grizzlies forced 15 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.556 (above their season average of 0.535). New Orleans, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.6 (above their season average of 23.2). Memphis was led by Jonas Valanciunas, who recorded eight points and 18 rebounds. Lonzo Ball played a huge role in the victory for New Orleans, collecting 18 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds on his way to his second triple-double of the year.
This was a highly contested series last year, as the teams split their four games last season. The Grizzlies won the last contest 99-90. Memphis had a better turnover percentage (9.4 vs. 13.3). New Orleans, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.7 vs. 22.2). This will be the first meeting of the year between these two teams.
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Pelicans are playing, as 58.1 percent of their contests have gone over the total. New Orleans holds records of 16-27 straight up (SU) and 20-20-3 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Grizzlies games have finished over the projected point total. Further, Memphis is 20-22 SU and 22-19-1 ATS.
The Pelicans’ Ball has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 12 points,10.0 assists,8.0 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Ja Morant has averaged 19 points,9.2 assists,5.2 rebounds during that same time frame for the Grizzlies.
The elite offense of Memphis will battle against the mid-tier defense of New Orleans. The Grizzlies rank eighth in effective field goal percentage (0.536), while the Pelicans are 22nd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.536). The Grizzlies should have the edge on that side of the ball.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pelicans rank 12th in blocks per game (5.1) while the Grizzlies rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
- Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (55.2) while New Orleans ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.5).
- The Grizzlies average 28.0 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. The Pelicans rank 18th in assists allowed per game (24.6).
- Memphis ranks 10th in steals per game (8.0) while New Orleans ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
- New Orleans averages 16.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Memphis ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.0).
- The Grizzlies average 17.4 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (15.0).
- The Pelicans rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (38.4) while the Grizzlies rank 19th in three pointers allowed per game (34.3).
- New Orleans averages 45.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Memphis ranks 13th in rebounds allowed per game (44.8).
- New Orleans averages 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Memphis ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.5).
- When allowing below 100 points, New Orleans is 3-0 and Memphis is 1-0.
- The Grizzlies are 20-17 when they score more than 100 points, while the Pelicans are 16-24.
- New Orleans is 9-10-3 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 13-11 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 13 of the Pelicans’ 22 road games, while 14 of the Grizzlies’ 24 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, New Orleans and Memphis are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Pelicans have 5 overs over their last five games, while the Grizzlies have 3 unders and 2 overs
- During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 122.6 points per game (8.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 125.2 points per game (7.5 above their season average).
- The Grizzlies have outscored opponents by an average of 11.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Memphis has been defeated by an average of 2.2 points.