The Indiana Pacers (31-21) will be at home in Bankers Life Fieldhouse when they go head-to-head with the New Orleans Pelicans (21-31). The game can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 8, 2020.
New Orleans Pelicans at Indiana Pacers ATS Odds
In their last contest, the Pacers (6-point favorites) lost to the Toronto Raptors, 115-106, while The Pelicans (6-point favorites) beat the Chicago Bulls, 125-119. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Indiana game went 5.5 points over the projected point total of 215.5, while the New Orleans game finished 13 points over the projected point total of 231.
The Pelicans had a fantastic effective field goal percentage of 0.655 (above their season average of 0.533) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.7 vs. 23.4). Indiana, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.2 (above their season average of 20.5). Indiana rallied around Domantas Sabonis, who had 19 points and 16 rebounds. Josh Hart led the way for New Orleans, finishing with 12 points, seven rebounds and six assists.
In their first matchup this season, Brandon Ingram led the Pelicans to a 120-98 win. He produced 24 points, seven assists and five rebounds. New Orleans covered as a 2-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 218 points, which was just over the projected point total of 217.5. The Pelicans’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Pacers. New Orleans had a rate of 10.5, while Indiana posted a mark of 15.5.
Vegas is known to set the total low when the Pelicans are playing, as 55.8 percent of their games have ended over the total. New Orleans heads into the contest with records of 21-31 straight up (SU) and 24-24-4 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Pacers games have finished over the projected point total. Further, Indiana is 31-21 SU and 27-22-2 ATS.
Indiana should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Indiana ranks fifth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while New Orleans forces the eighth-fewest turnovers (12.9 percent). It will also be a battle of contrasting tempos as the up-tempo Pelicans rank third in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Pacers rank 28th.
New Orleans Pelicans at Indiana Pacers Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers average 26.2 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 17th in assists allowed per game (24.4).
- Indiana ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.6) while New Orleans ranks 27th (8.5).
- The Pelicans rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.0) while the Pacers rank 28th (11.8).
- New Orleans ranks fifth in rebounds per game (46.4) while Indiana ranks 26th (42.6).
- Indiana ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (12.6) while New Orleans ranks 26th (15.2).
- The Pelicans rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (38.2) while the Pacers rank 29th (27.8).
- The Pacers average 48.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.9).
- Indiana ranks seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while New Orleans ranks 28th (19.1).
- New Orleans is 3-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Indiana is 9-2.
- The Pacers are 31-13 when they reach the century mark, while the Pelicans are 21-28.
- New Orleans is 11-11-4 ATS on the road, while Indiana is 12-11-2 ATS at home.
- The Pelicans have 15 overs and 11 unders in 26 road games.
- The Pacers have 13 overs and 12 unders in 25 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pelicans are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
- In their last five games, New Orleans has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Indiana has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Pelicans have outscored opponents by an average of 5.6 points in their last five games. For the season, New Orleans has been defeated by an average of 2.1 points.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 105.4 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (1.6 above their season average).
