The New Mexico State Aggies (+15) are set to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles (-15) at Allen E. Paulson Stadium. The afternoon matchup will start at 3:00 p.m. ET and ESPN 3 will televise the action.
Betting Preview: New Mexico State Aggies at Georgia Southern Eagles
In this Saturday matchup, Georgia Southern has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 15 points. The Aggies are also receiving +550 moneyline odds while the Eagles are -840. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 54 points, and if one squad can find paydirt early, it’ll likely create a worthy in-game betting scenario.
The Aggies are 3-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 4.0 units this season. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-4.
The Eagles are up 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors in 2019. They’re 1-4-1 ATS and four of their games have gone over the total.
The Aggies are 0-7 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Eagles are 3-3 SU.
The Aggies came up short to Central Michigan 42-28 in a matchup where their defense allowed the Chippewas to eat up the clock by rushing for 352 yards on 56 attempts, including three rush TDs. Jonathan Ward was on a different level for the Chippewas in that one with 131 rushing yards and a score on 18 attempts, along with 36 yards on four catches. On the offense, Josh Adkins completed 24-of-40 passes for 263 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Jason Huntley (67 rushing yards on 10 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the loss while Tony Nicholson (seven receptions, 86 yards) and Naveon Mitchell (five catches, 52 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
Georgia Southern just put together a 30-27 win over Coastal Carolina. The defense allowed the Chanticleers to rush for 132 yards on 47 attempts, including two rush TDs. Bryce Carpenter had a productive outing in the loss, posting 61 rushing yards and a score on 23 attempts for Coastal Carolina. For Georgia Southern, Shai Werts completed four-of-eight passes for 61 yards and two touchdowns. Wesley Kennedy III had an outstanding statline. In addition to 129 rushing yards on 25 attempts (and two TDs), Kennedy III also reeled in two catches for 16 yards.
New Mexico State has run the ball on 41.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia Southern has a rush percentage of 82.5 percent. The Aggies have produced 105.4 rush yards/game and have eight scores via handoffs this year. The Eagles are logging 237.3 rushing yards per game and have 10 total rush TDs.
If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Eagles should hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has logged 4.6 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.4 YPC to opponents. The Aggies have tallied 3.7 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 6.0 to opponents.
The Aggies offensive scheme has logged 250.6 yards/contest in the air overall and has nine passing scores so far. The Eagles have produced 56.3 pass yards per game and have two total pass TDs.
Defensively, New Mexico State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 243.6 yards and pass for 245.3 yards per game. The Georgia Southern defense has given up 233.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 121.2 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Aggies have given up an ANY/A of 8.44 to opposing QBs, while the Eagles are allowing an ANY/A of 8.77.
Werts has managed to complete 11-of-23 passes for 98 yards, two TDs and zero INTs. Werts’ adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at a very poor 3.75 for the season and 6.07 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Adkins has amassed 1,473 passing yards on the year, and has completed 153-of-246 attempts with nine passing touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Adkins has a 4.08 ANY/A, including 5.45 over the last two games.
When these two programs faced one another last year, Georgia Southern emerged victorious by a score of 48-31.
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Georgia Southern Eagles Free Pick
SU Winner: Georgia Southern, ATS Winner: Georgia Southern, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Georgia Southern D has registered nine sacks on the year while New Mexico State has six.
- The Georgia Southern offense has lost six fumbles this season while the New Mexico State offense has let seven get away.
- The Aggies offense has tallied five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Eagles have put up one such play.
- Both defenses have allowed nine pass plays of 40+ yards. The New Mexico State defense has given up 12 pass plays of 30+ yards while Georgia Southern has permitted 13 such plays.
- The New Mexico State offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Georgia Southern has created 15 such runs.
- The Aggies defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Eagles have given up four such runs.
- The Over/Under for Georgia Southern’s previous matchup was 43. The over cashed in the 30-27 triumph over Coastal Carolina.
- In its last three contests, Georgia Southern is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three games, New Mexico State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for New Mexico State’s last game was 56.5. The over cashed in the team’s 42-28 defeat to Central Michigan.
- As a team, New Mexico State has produced 4.3 yards per carry across its last three contests and 4.1 over its last two.
- Georgia Southern has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.7 over its past two.
