A couple of teams that like to run the football, Coach Gary Patterson and the TCU Horned Frogs are getting 7.5 points when they play host to their Big 12 counterpart No. 9 Oklahoma Sooners to Amon G. Carter Stadium. Kickoff for this keyshowdown is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can view the action live on ABC.
Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at TCU Horned Frogs
TCU is a noticeable underdog in this Big 12 game and is currently getting 7.5 points. The Sooners are also receiving -330 moneyline odds while the Horned Frogs are +250. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 61 points, and based on how it’s shaping up, this showdown should have some in-game betting opportunities.
The Sooners are 2-4 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.0 unit so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-1.
The Horned Frogs have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 4.7 units. They’re 1-4-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-4.
The Sooners have gone 5-1 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Horned Frogs are 3-3 SU overall and are also 1-2 SU in conference play.
The Sooners hope to get back on track after a 48-45 defeat to Texas on October 6. Kyler Murray completed 19 passes on 26 attempts for 304 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Murray (92 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Trey Sermon (54 yards on nine carries, one TD) in the loss. Marquise Brown (nine receptions, 131 yards, two TDs) and CeeDee Lamb (six catches, 75 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
Back on October 11, Texas Tech took care of this TCU team by a score of 17-14. The Horned Frogs defense let the Red Raiders rush for 151 yards on 43 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Jett Duffey had a solid showing, recording 83 rushing yards and a score on 16 attempts for Texas Tech. For TCU, Shawn Robinson completed 26-of-45 passes for 290 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Darius Anderson (39 yards on 12 rush attempts) led the ground game in the defeat while Jalen Reagor (eight receptions, 73 yards, one TD) and KaVontae Turpin (six catches, 120 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.
Oklahoma has run the ball on 56.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while TCU has a rush percentage of 51.6 percent. The Sooners have run for 208.8 yards per game (including 189.3 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 16 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Horned Frogs are totaling 176.0 rushing yards per game (126.3 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.
The Sooners offensive scheme has logged 315.8 yards per game in the air overall (363.3 per game against conference opposition) and has 22 passing TDs so far. The Horned Frogs have recorded 238.2 pass yards per contest (234 in the Big 12) and have 10 total pass scores.
Defensively, Oklahoma has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 156.8 yards and throw for 264.3 yards per game. The TCU defense has allowed 182.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 129.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Horned Frogs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.09 to opponents, while the Sooners have given up a 6.65 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Murray has amassed 1,332 yards on the year. He’s completed 69 percent of his 114 attempts with 15 scores through the air and only three interceptions. Murray has a pristine 12.23 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 16.82 over the last two outings.
Shawn Robinson has managed to complete 100-of-167 passes for 1,131 yards, eight TDs and seven INTs for TCU. His ANY/A stands at 5.54 for the season and 5.01 over his last two outings.
Oklahoma Sooners at TCU Horned Frogs Free Pick
SU Winner: TCU, ATS Winner: TCU, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The TCU defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 17 times this year. Oklahoma has produced 16 sacks.
- TCU has lost six fumbles this season while Oklahoma has lost three.
- The Sooners offense has created 12 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Horned Frogs have accounted for five such plays.
- The Oklahoma defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while TCU has given up seven such plays.
- The Oklahoma offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while TCU has created three such runs.
- The Sooners defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Horned Frogs have given up three such runs.
- The Over/Under for TCU’s last game was set at 57.5. The under cashed in the 17-14 loss to Texas Tech.
- Over its last three matches, TCU is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Over its last three contests, Oklahoma is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Oklahoma’s last game was 59. The over cashed in the team’s 48-45 loss to Texas.
- As a team, Oklahoma has averaged 6.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.4 over its last two.
- TCU has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.1 over its last two.
