NCAA Football Free Preview: North Texas Mean Green at UAB Blazers

betdsiArticles, College Football, Football

The Blazers (-1) are gearing up to welcome the North Texas Mean Green to Uab. This pivotal CUSA matchup is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET and beIN Sports will broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers

UAB is the home underdog in this CUSA matchup and is currently getting 1 point. The Mean Green are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Blazers are -105. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 52 points, and if one side can get out in front early, it will probably generate a worthwhile betting scenario in-game.

The over/under has yet to change after it was initially established at 52. Having said that, the line opened at -1 so has recently moved up to 1.

Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Mean Green have recorded 1.5 units while the Blazers are ahead 2.4 units.

The Mean Green are 6-1 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against conference opponents. The Blazers are 5-1 SU overall and 3-0 SU in conference play.

When these two teams faced one another last year, North Texas won by a field goal 46-43.

The Mean Green are coming off a resounding 30-7 win over Southern Miss last week. The Mean Green secondary allowed the Golden Eagles to air it out for 317 yards. On the offensive side of the ball, Mason Fine completed 24 passes for 292 yards and one touchdown. DeAndre Torrey (95 rushing yards on 17 attempts, three TDs) led the ground attack while Jalen Guyton (seven receptions, 124 yards, one TD) and Rico Bussey, Jr. (four catches, 41 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

UAB enters this one having just earned a 42-0 win over Rice. A.J. Erdely completed 11-of-17 passes for 274 yards and two touchdowns. Erdely (29 rushing yards on nine attempts, one TD) and Lucious Stanley (70 yards on nine carries) handled the running game while Andre Wilson (four receptions, 43 yards) and Xavier Ubosi (four catches, 196 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

North Texas has run the ball on 48.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UAB has a rush percentage of 65.6 percent. The Mean Green have run for 156.0 yards/game (including 143.3 per game versus Conference USA opponents) and have 15 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Blazers are averaging 232.2 rush yards per game (184.3 in conference) and have 18 total rushing TDs.

The Mean Green offensive scheme has averaged 323.3 yards through the air overall (294.0 per game versus conference opposition) and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Blazers have recorded 202.7 pass yards per game (208 against CUSA foes) and have seven total pass scores.

North Texas has allowed opponents to run for an average of 97.0 yards and pass for 242.3 yards per game. The UAB D has given up 134.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 149.3 yards per game on the ground. The Blazers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.28 to opponents, while the Mean Green have given up a 4.00 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Fine is already up to 1,916 yards this season, and has connected on 64 percent of his 235 attempts with 14 passing scores and only one interception. Fine has a pristine 8.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.97 over the last two games.

A.J. Erdely has connected on 70-of-114 passes for 1,045 yards, six TDs and four INTs for UAB. His ANY/A stands at 8.06 for the season and 9.60 over his last two outings.

North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers Free Pick

SU Winner: UAB, ATS Winner: UAB, O/U: Over

Betting Trends

  • Each team defense has produced 22 sacks this season.
  • The UAB offense has lost two fumbles this season while the North Texas offense has lost four.
  • The Blazers have made 11 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Mean Green have produced 20 such plays.
  • The North Texas defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while UAB has given up three such plays.
  • The North Texas offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while UAB has created 12 such runs.
  • The Mean Green defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Blazers have given up 10 such runs.
  • The O/U for UAB’s last match was set at 54.5. The under cashed in that 42-0 win over Rice.
  • In its last three matchups, UAB is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • In its last three games, North Texas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The O/U for North Texas’ last game was 53. The under cashed in the team’s 30-7 victory over Southern Miss.
  • North Texas, as a team, has rushed for 4.1 yards per attempt across its past three games and 4.4 over its last two.
  • UAB has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.9 over its past two.