The No. 22 Texas Longhorns (+7) are set to pay a visit to the Iowa State Cyclones (-7) at Jack Trice Stadium. FS1 is scheduled to broadcast the action and the opening kickoff for this crucial Big 12 game is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. When the two squads faced each other last year, Texas won by two touchdowns 24-10.
Betting Preview: Texas Longhorns vs. Iowa State Cyclones
In this Saturday Big 12 game, Iowa State is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to put up $300 in order to win $100 back on the Cyclones (-300). The Longhorns are getting +220 moneyline odds. If one side can create a bunch of points early it’ll produce a worthy betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 66.5 points.
The opening line was -7. The game’s total hasn’t changed since it opened at 66.5.
The Longhorns have gained 1.0 unit so far and are 4-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 6-3.
The Cyclones have lost 3.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 6-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-4.
The Longhorns are 6-3 straight up (SU), including 4-2 SU against conference opponents. The Cyclones are 5-4 SU overall and are also 3-3 SU in conference play.
The Longhorns just scored a 27-24 win over Kansas State last week where they allowed the Wildcats to pass for 253 yards and rush for 51 yards. Malik Knowles had a good day for the Wildcats in that one with 94 yards and a score on three catches. Offensively, Sam Ehlinger completed 22-of-29 passes for 263 yards, as well as one score and a pick. Keaontay Ingram (139 yards on 16 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Ehlinger (40 yards on 14 carries) led the ground attack. Devin Duvernay (nine receptions, 110 yards) and Collin Johnson (seven catches, 110 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
One week ago, Oklahoma got the victory against this Iowa State crew by a score of 42-41. The Cyclones defensive unit allowed the Sooners to eat up the clock by running for 226 yards on 41 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. CeeDee Lamb was on a different level for Oklahoma, recording 167 yards and two touchdowns on eight catches. For Iowa State, Brock Purdy completed 19-of-30 passes for 282 yards and five touchdowns. Breece Hall (110 rushing yards on 18 attempts) and the signal-caller Purdy (55 yards on 15 carries, one TD) led the running game while Deshaunte Jones (four receptions, 18 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Texas has run the ball on 49.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Iowa State has a rush percentage of 47.2 percent. The Longhorns have produced 173 rush yards/game (including 185.3 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 18 scores on the ground this year. The Cyclones are putting up 156 rush yards per game (143 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Cyclones may have an advantage in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, since their running backs has generated 4.7 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.7 YPC to opponents. The Longhorns have registered 4.6 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.3 to opponents.
The Longhorns offensive scheme has averaged 303.7 yards in the air overall (280.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 24 passing scores so far. The Cyclones have produced 323.2 pass yards per outing (310 in the Big 12) and have 22 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Texas has allowed opponents to run for an average of 148 yards and pass for 299.6 yards per game. The Iowa State D has allowed 231.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 128.4 yards per game on the ground. The Cyclones are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.01 to opposing QBs, while the Longhorns have allowed a 7.52 ANY/A.
Purdy has been sharper than Ehlinger of late. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 9.56 for the season and 6.78 across his last two outings while Ehlinger’s ANY/A is 7.94 and 5.04 over the last two games.
Texas Longhorns vs. Iowa State Cyclones Betting Pick
SU Winner: Iowa State, ATS Winner: Iowa State, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- The Iowa State defensive unit has registered 21 sacks on the year while Texas has 16.
- The Iowa State offense has lost five fumbles this season while Texas has let four get away.
- The Longhorns offense has recorded eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cyclones have put up nine such plays.
- The Texas defense has allowed 12 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Iowa State has given up six such plays.
- The Texas offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Iowa State has created 11 such runs.
- The Longhorns defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Cyclones have given up nine such runs.
- The O/U for Iowa State’s previous outing going into it was 71. The over cashed in the team’s 42-41 defeat to Oklahoma.
- Over its last three contests, Iowa State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three matchups, Texas is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Texas’ last game was set at 56.5. The under cashed in the team’s 27-24 victory over Kansas State.
- Texas has averaged 5.4 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 5.1 over its last two.
- Iowa State has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.5 over its past two.
