The Seminoles (-10) are set to host their in-conference counterpart Syracuse Orange in Florida State. ESPN2 has the TV rights and this daytime game is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Syracuse Orange vs. Florida State Seminoles
In this Saturday Atlantic Coast game, Florida State has been projected as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 10 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to lay down $400 to win $100 back on the Noles (-400). The Orange are getting +300 moneyline odds. Some decent in-game betting scenarios might exist during this match, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 57 points.
The Orange are down 1.1 units so far and 2-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 2-4.
The Seminoles are down 3.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-4-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-4.
The Orange are 3-4 straight up (SU), including 0-3 SU against conference opponents. The Seminoles are 3-4 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play.
Each team comes into this matchup on a two-game losing streak. The Orange dropped one to Pittsburgh 27-20 in a game where the passing attack the primary culprit as the Orange completed 19-of-44 passes for 277 yards and two touchdowns. Tommy DeVito went 11-for-23 for 101 yards while Clayton Welch completed eight-of-20 for 176 yards and two touchdowns. Clayton Welch (36 rushing yards on 10 attempts) led the running attack. Sean Riley (five receptions, 32 yards) and Trishton Jackson (five catches, 76 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Florida State narrowly fell 22-20 to Wake Forest. James Blackman completed 27-of-43 passes for 280 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Cam Akers (157 rushing yards on 30 attempts, one TD) mounted the running attack as Tre’ McKitty (five receptions, 44 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Syracuse has run the ball on 50.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida State has an overall rush percentage of 48.6 percent. The Orange have run for 110 yards/game (including 35.7 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have seven touchdowns on the ground this year. The Noles are logging 125.4 rushing yards per game (112 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.
The Orange offensive scheme has logged 261.1 yards per game in the air overall (249.7 per game versus conference opposition) and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Noles have put up 281.6 pass yards per outing (272 against ACC competition) and have 17 total pass scores.
Syracuse should possess the upper hand in both areas of the defense. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 148.4 yards and pass for 270.4 yards per game. The Florida State defense has given up 293 yards per game to opposing passers and 165.7 yards per game on the ground. The Orange are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.74 to opposing QBs, while the Noles have given up a 6.4 ANY/A.
Blackman has managed to complete 113-of-167 passes for 1,250 yards, 11 TDs and three INTs for Florida State. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.03 for the season and 3.42 across his last two outings. In the other huddle, DeVito has amassed 1,335 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 117-of-190 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and five interceptions. DeVito has a 5.53 ANY/A, including 4.41 over the last two games.
These two teams met last year with the final outcome being a 30-7 win for Syracuse.
Syracuse Orange at Florida State Seminoles Free Pick
SU Winner: Syracuse, ATS Winner: Syracuse, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Syracuse’s last game was 53. The under cashed in the team’s 27-20 defeat to Pittsburgh.
- Syracuse has averaged 2.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 1.3 over its last two.
- Florida State has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.9 over its past two.
- Florida State has lost five fumbles this season while Syracuse has let six get away.
- The O/U for Florida State’s previous game was set at 68. The under cashed in the 22-20 defeat to Wake Forest.
- In its last three games, Florida State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Each team has produced nine pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Orange have have made 13 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Seminoles have created 11 such plays.
- The Syracuse defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while Florida State has given up four such plays.
- The Syracuse offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Florida State has created seven such runs.
- The Orange defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Seminoles have given up six such runs.
- The Syracuse D has sacked opposing QBs 23 times this season. Florida State has registered just 17 sacks.
