The No. 12 Michigan Wolverines (-8.5) and Indiana Hoosiers are ready to do battle on the turf at Memorial Stadium. ESPN will broadcast the action and this pivotal Big 10 game is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Indiana is a live dog and is currently getting 8.5 points in this Big 10 matchup. The Wolverines are also receiving -350 moneyline odds while the Hoosiers are +270. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 52.5 points, and if one program can create a bunch of points early, it’ll likely generate a reasonable betting opportunity in-game.
The over has been getting most of the early sharp action. The game’s total was originally set at 51.5.
The Wolverines are 6-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit so far in 2019. The team has posted an Over-Under mark of 7-3.
The Hoosiers have gained 1.2 units this season. The team is 7-3 ATS and has an even O/U record of 5-5.
The Wolverines are 8-2 straight up (SU), including 5-2 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Hoosiers are 7-3 SU overall and 4-3 SU in conference play.
These two teams faced off a year ago with the final result being a 31-20 win for Michigan.
The Wolverines are coming off a resounding 44-10 victory over Michigan State last week. Shea Patterson completed 24-of-33 passes for 384 yards and four touchdowns. Tru Wilson (26 yards on 10 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground attack. Ronnie Bell (nine receptions, 150 yards) and Donovan Peoples-Jones (four catches, 48 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
A week ago, Penn State knocked off this Indiana team by a score of 34-27. Peyton Ramsey completed 31-of-41 passes for 371 yards and one touchdown. Stevie Scott III (54 yards on 17 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Ramsey (31 yards on 12 carries, two TDs) spearheaded the running attack as David Ellis (seven receptions, 85 yards) and Hendershot (seven catches, 51 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Michigan has run the ball on 57.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indiana has an overall rush percentage of 48.5 percent. The Wolverines have produced 161.9 rush yards per game (including 139.3 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 24 scores on the ground this year. The Hoosiers are averaging 133.7 rush yards per game (128.1 in conference) and have 18 total rushing TDs.
Based on the numbers this season, it appears the Wolverines should hold an edge in terms of RB effectiveness. Their backfield has generated 4.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 2.8 to opponents. The Hoosiers have tallied 3.8 yards per carry and allowed 3.9 YPC to opponents.
The Wolverines offensive scheme has logged 235.7 yards per game through the air overall (253 per game versus conference opposition) and has 18 passing TDs so far. The Hoosiers have produced 314.3 pass yards per contest (303 in the Big 10) and have 21 total pass scores.
Defensively, Michigan seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 106.8 rush yards and 154.8 pass yards per game. The Indiana D has given up 176.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 139.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Wolverines are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.90 to opponents, while the Hoosiers have given up a 5.76 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Patterson has put up 2,006 yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 146-of-247 attempts with 15 scores through the air and only four interceptions. Patterson has a 7.45 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 10.03 over the past two games.
Ronnie Bell (602 receiving yards this season), Nico Collins (419 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) and Tru Wilson (166 rush yards, one rush TD) have each played key roles recently.
Peyton Ramsey has connected on 137-of-188 passes for 1,565 yards, nine TDs and three INTs for Indiana. His ANY/A sits at 7.84 for the year and 9.04 over his past two games.
Stevie Scott III (675 rushing yards, seven rush TDs on the year), Ty Fryfogle (453 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Whop Philyor (787 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) have combined for 505 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns the past couple of games.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Indiana Hoosiers NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Michigan, ATS Winner: Michigan, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The Indiana offense has lost five fumbles this season while Michigan has let 10 get away.
- The Michigan D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 31 times this year. Indiana has produced just 22 sacks.
- Michigan has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its past three contests and 3.5 over its last two.
- Indiana has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.9 over its last two.
- Over its last three matchups, Indiana is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Michigan’s previous game was set at 44. The over cashed in the team’s 44-10 win over Michigan State.
- In its last three games, Michigan is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Indiana’s previous matchup was 55.5. The over cashed in the 34-27 loss to Penn State.
- Michigan has won seven of its last eight games SU, with an October 19th defeat to Penn State representing the only loss over that stretch.
