The No. 11 Florida Gators (-7) and Missouri Tigers are ready to go at it on the turf at Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field. The opening kickoff for this crucial SEC game is set for 12:00 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to televise the action.
Betting Preview: Missouri Tigers vs. Florida Gators
In this Saturday Southeastern game, Florida is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently have to put up $300 to win $100 back on the Gators (-300). The Tigers are getting +220 moneyline odds. If one side gets out in front in the early stages it’ll create a decent live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 48 points.
The opening line was 6.5 while the O/U has yet to move since it was initially set at 48.
The profitable Gators have gained 3.2 units so far and are 4-3-2 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 4-5.
The lackluster Tigers have lost 11.2 units this season. The team is 4-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-7.
The Gators have gone 8-2 straight up (SU), including 5-2 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 5-4 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play.
These two teams faced off a year ago with the final result being a 38-17 victory for Missouri.
The Gators are coming off a resounding 56-0 victory over Vanderbilt last week. Kyle Trask completed 25 passes for 363 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Trevon Grimes (four receptions, 95 yards, one TD) and Lamical Perine (four catches, 28 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Missouri was just shut out 27-0 by Georgia. The defense allowed the Bulldogs to eat up the clock by running for 166 yards on 38 rush attempts. Lawrence Cager put up a productive showing in the win, posting 93 yards on six catches for Georgia. As a group, the Tigers collectively completed 18-of-34 passes for 148 yards and one interception. Taylor Powell went 10-for-22 for 84 yards and one interception while Connor Bazelak was eight-of-12 for 64 yards. Larry Rountree III (24 yards on nine rush attempts) handled the running game as Jonathan Nance (four receptions, 45 yards) and Albert Okwuegbunam (four catches, 30 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.
Florida’s run the ball on 47.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Missouri has an overall rush percentage of 56 percent. The Gators have rushed for 131 yards per game (including 124.1 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Tigers are averaging 169.4 rush yards per game (151 in conference) and have 12 total rushing TDs.
The Gators offensive scheme has averaged 288.5 yards in the air overall (293.9 per game versus conference opposition) and has 26 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have put up 233.4 pass yards per contest (202 against SEC competition) and have 14 total pass scores.
Defensively, Florida has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 116.3 yards and pass for 191.9 yards per game. The Missouri D has allowed 147.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 140.1 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Gators have given up an ANY/A of 3.94 to opposing QBs, while the Tigers are allowing an ANY/A of 4.17.
Bryant has completed 140-of-225 passes for 1,845 yards, 14 TDs and five INTs for Missouri. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.49 for the season and 5.61 over his last two games. In the other huddle, Trask is up to 1,754 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 139-of-206 attempts with 17 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Trask has a pristine 7.81 ANY/A, including 7.99 over the last two outings.
Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigers Free Prediction
SU Winner: Florida, ATS Winner: Florida, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Florida’s previous game going into it was 50. The over cashed in the team’s 56-0 triumph over Vanderbilt.
- Florida, as a team, has produced 4.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.
- Missouri has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and only 3.0 over its past two.
- The Missouri offense has lost six fumbles this season while Florida has let eight get away.
- In its last three games, Florida is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Missouri’s previous outing was set at 48. The under cashed in the 27-0 loss to Georgia.
- In its last three games, Missouri is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Gators offense has tallied six pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Tigers have accounted for eight such plays.
- The Florida defense has allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards, while Missouri has given up four such plays.
- The Florida offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Missouri has created 10 such runs.
- The Gators defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Tigers have given up 11 such runs.
- The Florida D has sacked opposing QBs 35 times this season. Missouri has registered just 14 sacks.
