In a display of two teams that prefer to run the football, Warhawks (-6) are prepared to welcome their conference nemesis Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to Louisiana-monroe. The game starts at 5:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can watch the action on ESPN 3.
Betting Preview: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Coastal Carolina is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 6 points in this SBC game. The Chanticleers are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Warhawks are -240. Some decent in-game betting opportunities could exist during the matchup, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 64 points.
The opening line was -6 while the O/U hasn’t changed since it opened at 64.
The Chanticleers are down 2.5 units so far in 2019 and 6-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 5-5.
The Warhawks are down 2.0 units this season. The team is 3-7 ATS and owns an O/U record of 5-4-1.
The Chanticleers are 4-6 straight up (SU), including 1-5 SU against conference opponents. The Warhawks are 4-6 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play.
The Chanticleers are most-recently reeling from a thin 28-27 defeat to Arkansas State last week where the Chanticleers completed 17-of-32 passes for 179 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Fred Payton went 11-for-22 for 149 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Bryce Carpenter completed six-of-10 for 30 yards and one interception. CJ Marable (142 yards on 28 rushes, one TD) and Bryce Carpenter (39 yards on 14 carries) led the ground attack while Ky’Jon Tyler (four receptions, 74 yards) and Jaivon Heiligh (four catches, 36 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Back on November 16, Georgia Southern got the victory against this Louisiana-Monroe team by a score of 51-29. The Warhawks defense allowed the Eagles to kill the clock by rushing for 245 yards on 52 attempts, including four rush TDs. J.D. King put up a productive outing for Georgia Southern, posting 102 rushing yards and a score on 16 attempts. For Louisiana-Monroe, Caleb Evans completed 21-of-36 passes for 285 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Evans (27 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and Josh Johnson (43 yards on 12 carries) mounted the running game while Jonathan Hodoh (six receptions, 68 yards) and Markis McCray (four catches, 34 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Coastal Carolina has run the ball on 59.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Louisiana-Monroe has a rush percentage of 53 percent. The Chanticleers have produced 189.8 rush yards/game (including 152.8 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 21 scores on the ground this year. The Warhawks are totaling 203.3 rush yards per game (179 in conference) and have 23 total rushing TDs.
The Chanticleers offensive scheme has averaged 199.5 yards in the air overall (191.7 per game versus conference opposition) and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Warhawks have produced 236.5 pass yards per game (234 against SBC foes) and have 17 total pass scores.
Coastal Carolina seems to have the upper hand in both areas of the defense. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 167.1 yards and pass for 204.8 yards per game. The Louisiana-Monroe defense has allowed 227.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 254.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Chanticleers have given up an ANY/A of 6.98 to opposing QBs, while the Warhawks are yielding an ANY/A of 7.1.
Passing-wise, Payton is up to 1,158 yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 99-of-158 attempts with seven scores through the air and seven interceptions. He’s got a 5.72 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.77 over the last two games.
CJ Marable, Ky’Jon Tyler and Jeremiah Miller have combined to account for 311 yards from scrimmage over the last couple of outings.
Caleb Evans has connected on 173-of-287 passes for 1,972 yards, 14 TDs and seven INTs for Louisiana-Monroe. His ANY/A sits at 6.19 for the season and 7.63 over his past two games.
Similar to the Chanticleers, expect a balanced approach offensively from Louisiana-Monroe this Saturday. Josh Johnson, Perry Carter Jr. and Caleb Evans have combined for 522 total yards and four touchdowns as a trio over the last couple of games.
When these two squads faced one another a year ago, Louisiana-Monroe knocked Coastal Carolina off handily 45-20.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Free Pick
SU Winner: Louisiana-Monroe, ATS Winner: Louisiana-Monroe, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost six fumbles this season while Coastal Carolina has lost seven.
- The Coastal Carolina defensive unit has 17 sacks on the year while Louisiana-Monroe has 16.
- Coastal Carolina, as a team, has produced 4.1 yards per carry across its last three games and 3.7 over its last two.
- Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.0 over its past two.
- In its last three games, Louisiana-Monroe is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Coastal Carolina’s previous game going into it was 60.5. The under cashed in the team’s 28-27 loss to Arkansas State.
- Over its last three matchups, Coastal Carolina is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Louisiana-Monroe’s previous game was set at 57.5. The over cashed in the 51-29 loss to Georgia Southern.
- Coastal Carolina has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a one-point win over Troy on November 2nd accounting for the only victory over that stretch.