NCAA Football Free Pick – Arizona Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes

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The Arizona Wildcats and Colorado Buffaloes will go head-to-head on the grass of Folsom Field. The opening kickoff for this important game is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET and Pac-12 Networks will showcase the action.

Betting Preview: Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona Wildcats

Arizona is a live dog and is currently getting 2 points in this Saturday Pac-12 game. The Wildcats are also receiving +110 moneyline odds while the Buffaloes are -130. There will probably be some decent live betting opportunities for this game, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 64 points.

With the game’s O/U set initially at 63, the sharp action is siding with the over.

The Wildcats are down 1.8 units so far and 1-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 2-2.

The Buffaloes have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 3.6 units. They’re 3-1 ATS and own an O/U record of 2-1-1.

The Wildcats are 3-1 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Buffaloes are 3-1 SU overall and are also 1-0 SU in conference play.

The Wildcats look to keep it going after a 20-17 win over UCLA last weekTheir defense allowed the Bruins to run for 217 yards on 43 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Joshua Kelley had a good day for the Bruins in that one with 127 rushing yards and a score on 27 attempts. On the offensive side, Grant Gunnell completed 29-of-44 passes for 352 yards and one touchdown. Gary Brightwell (33 rushing yards on seven attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the win. Brian Casteel (seven receptions, 44 yards) and Darrius Smith (five catches, 99 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

The Colorado Buffaloes just earned a 34-31 win over Arizona State. The team’s defense allowed the Sun Devils to pass for 345 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 108 yards and two scores. Brandon Aiyuk was a bright spot in the defeat, recording 122 yards and a score on nine catches for Arizona State. For Colorado, Steven Montez completed 23-of-30 passes for 337 yards and three touchdowns. Alex Fontenot (89 yards on 25 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win as Tony Brown (nine receptions, 150 yards, three TDs) and K.D. Nixon (six catches, 98 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Arizona has run the ball on 55.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Colorado has an overall rush percentage of 52.7 percent. The Wildcats have rushed for 255.5 yards/game and have 10 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Buffaloes are putting up 144.3 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.

It seems like the Buffaloes could hold an edge when it comes to quarterback protection, as their offensive line has allowed only five sacks while their D-line has registered nine sacks. The Wildcats O-line has given up seven sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss on just four occasions.

The Wildcats offense has tallied 296.8 yards/contest in the air overall and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Buffaloes have recorded 291 pass yards per game and have nine total pass scores.

Defensively, Arizona has allowed 137.3 rush yards and 336 pass yards per game. The Colorado defense has given up 291 yards per game to opposing passers and 175.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Wildcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.64 to opposing QBs, while the Buffaloes have given up a 7.99 ANY/A.

Montez has managed to complete 64-of-91 passes for 944 yards, seven TDs and one INT for Colorado. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 10.79 for the season and 7.95 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Gunnell has put up 503 passing yards this season, and has completed 38-of-55 attempts with four passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Gunnell has a 9.79 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 7.83 over the past two outings.

These two teams met a year ago with the final result being a 42-34 win for Arizona.

Arizona Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner: Colorado, ATS Winner: Colorado, O/U: Over

Betting Notes

  • The Over/Under for Arizona’s last game was 68.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-17 victory over UCLA.
  • Arizona has rushed for 6.2 yards per attempt over its past three games and 4.5 over its last two.
  • Colorado has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.4 over its past two.
  • Colorado has lost two fumbles this season while Arizona has lost one.
  • In its last three games, Arizona is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Colorado’s last matchup going into it was 48.5. The over cashed in that 34-31 victory over Arizona State.
  • In its last three matchups, Colorado is 2-1 ATS.
  • The Wildcats offense has created six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Buffaloes have accounted for three such plays.
  • Both defenses have allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards. The Arizona defense has given up 11 pass plays of 30+ yards while Colorado has yielded nine such plays.
  • The Arizona offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Colorado has created three such runs.
  • The Wildcats defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Buffaloes have given up three such runs.
  • The Colorado defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks nine times this year. Arizona has registered four sacks.