The Georgia Southern Eagles (-12) are set to take on the New Mexico State Aggies at Aggie Memorial Stadium. The game will begin at 6:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Georgia Southern Eagles at New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State is a big underdog in this game and is currently getting 12 points. If they want to play the moneyline, bettors would currently have to lay down $500 in order to win $100 back on the Eagles (-500). The Aggies are getting +350 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 53.5 points, and there should be some decent live betting opportunities while the contest is underway.
The game’s total hasn’t changed after it was initially posted at 53.5. Having said that, the opening line was 13 and the sharp action is siding with the Aggies.
The profitable Eagles have gained 4.3 units so far and are 5-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 1-4.
The Aggies are down 0.7 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-5 ATS and five of their games have gone over the total.
The Eagles have gone 5-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Aggies are 2-5 SU.
The Eagles look to keep it rolling after a 15-13 win over Texas State last week in which Shai Werts completed seven passes for just 51 yards. Wesley Fields (93 rushing yards on 26 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Werts (18 yards on 13 carries) spearheaded the running attack. Colby Ransom (one receptions, 14 yards) and Mark Michaud (one catch, nine yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
One week ago, Louisiana knocked off this New Mexico State team by a score of 66-38. Josh Adkins completed 25-of-44 passes for 284 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Christian Gibson (47 rushing yards on 10 attempts, three TDs) and Jason Huntley (85 yards on eight carries) handled the running game while Huntley (five receptions, 112 yards, one TD) and Johnathan Boone (five catches, 90 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Georgia Southern has run the ball on 86.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Mexico State has a rush percentage of 41.9 percent. The Eagles have produced 256.7 rush yards per game and have 16 scores on the ground this year. The Aggies are averaging 100.7 rush yards per game and have seven total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Eagles might have an edge when it comes to RB efficiency. Their running backs has generated 5.2 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.0 YPC to opponents. The Aggies have tallied 3.5 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.8 to opponents.
The Eagles offensive scheme has averaged 75.7 yards in the air overall and has four passing scores so far. The Aggies have recorded 234.1 pass yards per contest and have 10 total pass TDs.
Georgia Southern appears to possess an advantage in both areas of the defense. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 148.2 yards and pass for 206.8 yards per game. The New Mexico State defense has given up 233.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 256.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.56 to opposing QBs, while the Aggies have given up a 6.85 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Werts is up to 315 yards this season, and has connected on 21-of-39 attempts with three passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Werts has a 7.00 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.09 over the last two games.
Josh Adkins has managed to complete 48-of-86 passes for 618 yards, three TDs and three INTs for New Mexico State. His ANY/A stands at 5.22 for the year and 7.00 across his last two outings.
When these two squads faced each other a year ago, New Mexico State got the victory 35-27.
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. New Mexico State Aggies NCAA Prediction
SU Winner: New Mexico State, ATS Winner: New Mexico State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The Over/Under for Georgia Southern’s previous game going into it was 51.5. The under cashed in the team’s 15-13 victory over Texas State.
- Georgia Southern has produced 5.6 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.8 over its last two.
- New Mexico State has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.6 over its past two.
- The New Mexico State offense has lost four fumbles this season while Georgia Southern has lost three.
- In its last three matchups, Georgia Southern is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for New Mexico State’s last outing was set at 66. The over cashed in the 66-38 defeat to Louisiana.
- In its last three matchups, New Mexico State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Eagles offense has created four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Aggies have accounted for five such plays.
- The Georgia Southern defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while New Mexico State has given up four such plays.
- The Georgia Southern offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while New Mexico State has created seven such runs.
- The Eagles defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Aggies have given up 17 such runs.
- The New Mexico State defense has produced 21 sacks on the year while Georgia Southern has just 15.
