A couple of schools that prefer to run the football, Chanticleers of Coastal Carolina (+6) are ready to greet their SBC foe Arkansas State Red Wolves (-6) in Brooks Stadium. The game is scheduled to start at 5:00 p.m. ET and you can watch the action live on ESPN+.
Betting Preview: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
Coastal Carolina is a live dog and is currently getting 6 points in this SBC game. The Red Wolves are also receiving -240 moneyline odds while the Chanticleers are +190. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 61 points, and multiple decent in-game betting opportunities could be unveiled throughout this matchup.
The early action has been slanting toward the Chanticleers. The line opened at 7 and the game’s total has yet to move after being set initially at 61.
The Red Wolves are down 0.1 units so far in 2018 and 3-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 3-5.
The Chanticleers have gained 1.4 units this season. The team is 5-4 ATS and has an even O/U record of 4-4.
The Red Wolves have gone 5-4 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against SBC opponents. The Chanticleers are 5-4 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play.
The Red Wolves are coming off a resounding 38-14 victory over South Alabama last week. The passing attack was sharp as Justice Hansen completed 26-of-37 passes for 332 yards and three touchdowns. Warren Wand (77 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) and Marcel Murray (40 yards on 11 carries) provided the running attack while Justin McInnis (seven receptions, 177 yards, one TD) and Kirk Merritt (six catches, 63 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
A week ago, Appalachian State got the win against this Coastal Carolina team by a score of 23-7. As a group, the team collectively completed 14-of-26 passes for 106 yards and one interception. Fred Payton went 10-for-16 for 79 yards and one interception while Kilton Anderson was four-of-10 for 27 yards. Payton (5 rushing yards on nine attempts) mounted the running game while Malcolm Williams (five receptions, 32 yards) and Outlow (four catches, 20 yards) led all Coastal Carolina pass-catchers in the loss.
Arkansas State has run the ball on 50.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Coastal Carolina has a rush percentage of 70.1 percent. The Red Wolves have produced 181.1 rush yards/game (including 174.0 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 14 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Chanticleers are totaling 231.7 rush yards per game (210.2 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.
If the numbers so far this season are any indication, then the Red Wolves should have an edge in the trenches, as their offensive line has yielded just 35 sacks while the D-line logged 35 sacks. The Chanticleers, on the other hand, have given up 28 sacks and their defense has created only 15 sacks.
The Red Wolves offense has logged 286.8 yards/game through the air overall (295.2 per game against conference opposition) and has 19 passing scores so far. The Chanticleers have recorded 177.2 pass yards per contest (171 against SBC competition) and have 13 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Arkansas State should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 220.7 rush yards and 177.2 pass yards per game. The Coastal Carolina defense has given up 217.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 224.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Red Wolves are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.56 to opponents, while the Chanticleers have given up a 7.26 ANY/A.
Offensively, Hansen has amassed 2,127 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 186-of-287 attempts with 17 passing scores and only five interceptions. Hansen’s got a 7.07 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 9.26 over the last two outings.
Justin McInnis (551 receiving yards, four receiving touchdowns this season), Kirk Merritt (395 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Marcel Murray (453 rush yards, three rush TDs, one TD) have each played key roles lately.
Fred Payton has completed 18-of-26 passes for 220 yards, two TDs and two INTs for Coastal Carolina. His ANY/A stands at 5.17 for the season and 6.33 across his past two outings.
Torrance Marable, Malcolm Williams and Ky’Jon Tyler have combined to account for 405 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns the last two outings.
These two squads faced off last year with the final outcome being a 51-17 win for Arkansas State.
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Betting Pick
SU Winner: Coastal Carolina, ATS Winner: Coastal Carolina, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Arkansas State’s last game was set at 62. The under cashed in the team’s 38-14 win over South Alabama.
- Arkansas State, as a team, has rushed for 5.3 yards per attempt over its last three outings and 4.4 over its last two.
- Coastal Carolina has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.4 over its past two.
- Coastal Carolina has lost seven fumbles this season while Arkansas State has lost four.
- In its last three contests, Arkansas State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Coastal Carolina’s last matchup going into it was 53. The under cashed in that 23-7 loss to Appalachian State.
- Over its last three matchups, Coastal Carolina is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Red Wolves offense has created three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Chanticleers have accounted for five such plays.
- The Arkansas State defense has allowed 12 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Coastal Carolina has given up four such plays.
- The Arkansas State offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Coastal Carolina has created 23 such runs.
- The Red Wolves defense has allowed 18 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Chanticleers have given up 29 such runs.
- The Arkansas State D has 21 sacks on the year while Coastal Carolina has 19.
