It’ll be a Pac-12-Pac-12 showdown as the No. 5 Utah Utes are favorites as they prepare to take on the No. 13 Oregon Ducks in the Pac-12 Championship Game. ABC is scheduled to broadcast the action and this Friday game kicks off at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks vs. Utah Utes
In this Friday Pac-12 game, Utah is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. The Utes are also receiving -270 moneyline odds while the Ducks are +210. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 51 points, and if one side can create a bunch of points in the early stages, it will likely lead to a worthy in-game betting opportunity.
With the spread opening at -6 and the total originally set at 50.5, odds have shifted slightly.
The surprising Utes have gained 3.3 units so far in 2019 and are 9-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-8-1.
The Ducks have lost 2.5 units this season. The team is 6-6 ATS and has an O/U record of 5-7.
The Utes are 11-1 straight up (SU), including 8-1 SU against conference opponents. The Ducks are 10-2 SU overall and 8-1 SU in conference play.
These two schools met a year ago with the final outcome being a 32-25 win for Utah.
The Utes hope to keep things rolling following a 45-15 win over Colorado last week. Tyler Huntley completed 14-of-17 passes for just 165 yards and two touchdowns. Zack Moss (88 rushing yards on 20 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Huntley (27 yards on 10 carries) mounted the ground attack. Brant Kuithe (three receptions, 63 yards, two TDs) and Jaylen Dixon (three catches, 34 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Oregon just picked up a 24-10 win over Oregon State. The defense let the Beavers rush for 137 yards on 34 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Jermar Jefferson was a bright spot in the loss, recording 81 rushing yards and a score on 20 attempts for Oregon State. For Oregon, Justin Herbert completed 18-of-30 passes for 174 yards and one touchdown. CJ Verdell (50 yards on 15 rush attempts) and Travis Dye (91 yards on 12 carries) handled the running game while Jaylon Redd (five receptions, 34 yards) and Johnny Johnson III (four catches, 39 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack in the win.
Utah has run the ball on 65.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oregon has an overall rush percentage of 52.4 percent. The Utes have produced 214.6 rush yards/game (including 210.8 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 34 scores on the ground this year. The Ducks are totaling 178.6 rushing yards per game (176.1 in conference) and have 20 total rush TDs.
The Utes offense has logged 239 yards per game in the air overall (247.6 per game against conference opposition) and has 17 passing scores so far. The Ducks have recorded 273.7 pass yards per game (259 against Pac-12 foes) and have 34 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Utah should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 56.3 rush yards and 185.3 pass yards per game. The Oregon D has allowed 225.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Utes have given up an ANY/A of 3.96 to opposing QBs, while the Ducks are yielding an ANY/A of 4.28.
Huntley has been more efficient than Herbert lately, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 11.57for the year and 8.63 over the last two games. Herbert’s ANY/A is 8.62 for the year and 6.16 over his last two games.
Utah Utes vs. Oregon Ducks Betting Prediction
SU Winner: Utah, ATS Winner: Utah, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Utah’s last game was 50. The over cashed in the team’s 45-15 victory over Colorado.
- Utah has produced 5.5 yards per carry across its past three outings and 5.5 over its last two.
- Oregon has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.3 over its past two.
- Oregon has lost five fumbles this season while Utah has lost nine.
- Over its last three matchups, Utah is 3-0 ATS.
- The O/U for Oregon’s previous match was 64.5. The under cashed in that 24-10 victory over Oregon State.
- In its last three games, Oregon is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Oregon has won 11 of its last 12 games SU, with a -3-point loss to Arizona State on November 23rd representing the only defeat over that stretch.
- The Utes offense has recorded 13 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Ducks have accounted for four such plays.
- The Utah defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Oregon has given up five such plays.
- The Utah offense has created 17 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Oregon has created 16 such runs.
- The Utes defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Ducks have given up eight such runs.
- The Oregon defensive unit has tallied 35 sacks on the year while Utah has just 29.
