The Oregon State Beavers (+18) aren’t traveling far to take on their conference nemesis No. 14 Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. ET and Pac-12 Networks has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks vs. Oregon State Beavers
Oregon State is a big road underdog in this Pac-12 matchup and is currently being given 18 points. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently have to lay down $1,500 in order to win $100 back on the Ducks (-1500). The Beavers are getting +810 moneyline odds. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 68 points. Some good in-game betting opportunities should exist during this match.
The Beavers are 8-3 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.5 units so far. The team has posted an O/U mark of 6-5.
The Ducks are down 2.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 6-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-6.
The Beavers have gone 5-6 straight up (SU), including 4-4 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Ducks are 9-2 SU overall and 7-1 SU in conference play.
The Beavers fell to Washington State 54-53 in a game where their secondary allowed the Cougars to air it out for 606 yards and six touchdowns. On the offensive side of the ball, Jake Luton completed only 22 passes on 40 attempts for 408 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Jermar Jefferson (132 yards on 21 rush attempts, two TDs) and Artavis Pierce (58 yards on seven carries) propelled the ground attack while Noah Togiai (five receptions, 67 yards, one TD) and Isaiah Hodgins (five catches, 65 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Oregon just suffered a 31-28 defeat to Arizona State. Justin Herbert completed 20-of-36 passes for 304 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. CJ Verdell (99 rushing yards on 18 attempts) and Travis Dye (58 yards on five carries) mounted the running game as Johnny Johnson III (10 receptions, 207 yards, two TDs) and Juwan Johnson (three catches, 41 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.
Oregon State has run the ball on 49.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oregon has an overall rush percentage of 52.1 percent. The Beavers have rushed for 158.5 yards per game (including 131.9 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 20 scores on the ground this year. The Ducks are logging 177.5 rush yards per game (174.3 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.
If 2019 numbers are any indication, then it seems like the Ducks should hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has produced 4.9 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.1 to opponents. The Beavers have rushed for 4.6 yards per carry while allowing 4.3 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Beavers offensive scheme has tallied 256.2 yards per contest through the air overall (259.6 per game against conference opposition) and has 30 passing scores so far. The Ducks have recorded 282.7 pass yards per contest (269 against Pac-12 foes) and have 33 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Oregon State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 167.5 yards and pass for 285.5 yards per game. The Oregon defense has allowed 223.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 103.3 yards per game on the ground. The Ducks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.15 to opposing QBs, while the Beavers have given up a 7.50 ANY/A.
Offensively, Luton is up to 2,426 passing yards this season, and has completed 61 percent of his 323 attempts with 24 scores through the air and only three interceptions. Luton has a 7.62 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 10.23 over the past two games.
On the other sideline, Justin Herbert has managed to complete 220-of-324 passes for 2,633 yards, 26 TDs and four INTs. Herbert’s ANY/A sits at 8.40 for the year and 8.61 over his past two games.
These two squads faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 55-15 victory for Oregon.
Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Oregon, ATS Winner: Oregon, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The O/U for Oregon State’s last game was set at 77.5. The over cashed in the team’s 54-53 loss to Washington State.
- Oregon State, as a team, has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.1 over its last two.
- Oregon has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.4 over its last two.
- The Oregon offense has lost four fumbles this season while Oregon State has lost one.
- In its last three matchups, Oregon State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Oregon’s last game going into it was 54.5. The over cashed in the 31-28 defeat to Arizona State.
- Over its last three matchups, Oregon is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Beavers offense has tallied nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Ducks have put up four such plays.
- The Oregon State defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Oregon has given up five such plays.
- The Oregon State offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oregon has created 13 such runs.
- The Beavers defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Ducks have given up seven such runs.
- The Oregon defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 34 times this season. Oregon State has registered 30 sacks.
