In a game featuring two squads that are nationally ranked in the Top 15, the No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners (-10) are facing off against their Big 12 counterpart Baylor Bears at McLane Stadium. ABC owns the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears
Baylor is a big underdog in this Big 12 matchup and is currently getting 10 points. If they are wanting to play the moneyline, bettors would currently need to put down $400 in order to win $100 back on the Sooners (-400). The Bears are getting +300 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 67.5 points, and there should be multiple good in-game betting opportunities for this matchup.
Square bettors have been siding with the Sooners. The opening line was 8.5, while the game’s total hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 67.5.
Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this season as the Sooners have gained 2.0 units and the Bears are up 7.1 units.
The perfect Sooners have gone 8-1 straight up (SU), including 5-1 SU against conference opponents. The Bears are 9-0 SU overall and are also 6-0 SU in conference play.
The Sooners enter after a 42-41 win over Iowa State last week in which Jalen Hurts completed 18-of-26 passes for 273 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Hurts (68 rushing yards on 22 attempts, two TDs) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Kennedy Brooks (132 yards on 15 carries, one TD) in the win. CeeDee Lamb (eight receptions, 167 yards, two TDs) and Charleston Rambo (two catches, 15 yards) handled the receiving duties.
The Baylor Bears just picked up a 29-23 win over TCU. The team’s defense let the Horned Frogs rush for 168 yards on 49 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Sewo Olonilua had a good showing in the defeat, recording 79 rushing yards and a score on 19 attempts for TCU. For Baylor, Charlie Brewer completed 27-of-41 passes for 195 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Brewer (41 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win while Denzel Mims (six receptions, 57 yards, two TDs) and Josh Fleeks (six catches, 42 yards) led all Baylor pass-catchers.
Oklahoma’s run the ball on 57.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baylor has an overall rush percentage of 54.9 percent. The Sooners have produced 249.2 rush yards per game (including 211.7 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 28 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Bears are averaging 188.2 rush yards per game (155.7 in conference) and have 23 total rushing TDs.
The Sooners offensive scheme has averaged a ridiculous 338.1 yards in the air overall (331 per game against conference opposition) and has 27 passing scores so far. The Bears have put up 271.3 pass yards per outing (285 in the Big 12) and have 17 total pass TDs.
Oklahoma has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 145.7 yards and pass for 209.4 yards per game. The Baylor defense has allowed 210.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 127.1 yards per game on the ground. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.1 to opponents, while the Sooners have given up a 6.18 ANY/A.
Hurts has been more productive than Brewer of late, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 13.71for the season and 11.93 over the past two games. Brewer’s ANY/A is 8.22 for the year and 5.73 over his past two outings.
These two teams met last year with the final outcome being a 66-33 win for Oklahoma.
Oklahoma Sooners at Baylor Bears Betting Pick
SU Winner: Baylor, ATS Winner: Baylor, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The O/U for Oklahoma’s last game was set at 71. The over cashed in the team’s 42-41 triumph over Iowa State.
- As a team, Oklahoma has produced 5.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.9 over its last two.
- Baylor has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 3.1 over its past two.
- Baylor has lost eight fumbles this season while Oklahoma has let five get away.
- In its last three matches, Oklahoma is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Baylor’s last matchup was set at 48. The over cashed in the 29-23 triumph over TCU.
- Over its last three matchups, Baylor is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Sooners offense has produced 16 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bears have put up nine such plays.
- The Oklahoma defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Baylor has given up two such plays.
- The Oklahoma offense has created 30 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Baylor has created 21 such runs.
- The Sooners defense has allowed 17 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bears have given up 10 such runs.
- The Baylor defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 29 times this season. Oklahoma has produced just 23 sacks.
