The Indiana Hoosiers (-3.5) and No. 21 Maryland Terrapins will go head-to-head on the turf at Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium. Fans are able to tune in to the action on BTN and this key afternoon matchup is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Maryland Terrapins vs. Indiana Hoosiers
In this Saturday Big Ten game, Indiana is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 3.5 points. The Hoosiers are also receiving -175 moneyline odds while the Terrapins are +155. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 56.5 points, and if one team can find paydirt early, it’ll likely lead to a decent in-game betting scenario.
This game’s opening line was 3, while the O/U hasn’t moved since it opened at 56.5.
The Hoosiers are down 1.0 unit so far in 2019 and 4-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 2-4.
The Terrapins are down 3.4 units this season. The team is 3-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-2-1.
The Hoosiers have gone 4-2 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Terrapins are 3-3 SU overall and 1-2 SU in conference play.
The Hoosiers are coming off a resounding 35-0 win over Rutgers last week where the Hoosiers completed 24-of-35 passes for 297 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Michael Penix Jr. went 20-for-29 for 282 yards, three touchdowns and one interception while Peyton Ramsey completed four-of-six for 15 yards. Stevie Scott III (164 rushing yards on 12 attempts) provided the ground attack in the win while Whop Philyor (10 receptions, 182 yards) and Nick Westbrook (five catches, 50 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.
Maryland just lost a brutal 40-14 game to Purdue. The defense allowed the Boilermakers to pass for 420 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 127 yards. Brycen Hopkins had a productive outing in the win, posting 140 yards on 10 catches for Purdue. For Maryland, Tyrrell Pigrome completed 21-of-39 passes for 218 yards and two interceptions. Pigrome (107 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) and Javon Leake (79 yards on seven carries, one TD) handled the ground game in the defeat as Dontay Demus Jr. (10 receptions, 105 yards) and Tayon Fleet-Davis (three catches, 16 yards) led all Maryland pass-catchers.
Indiana’s run the ball on 47.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Maryland has a rush percentage of 52.7 percent. The Hoosiers have produced 135.3 rush yards/game (including 124 per game versus Big Ten opponents) and have eight scores via handoffs this year. The Terps are logging 212.8 rush yards per game (148.3 in conference) and have 18 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Terps should hold an edge in terms of efficiency in the ground game, since their running backs has generated 5.6 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.0 to opponents. The Hoosiers have registered 4.0 yards per carry while allowing 3.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Hoosiers offense has averaged 302.8 yards in the air overall (266 per game versus conference opposition) and has 15 passing TDs so far. The Terps have put up 226.2 pass yards per outing (192 against Big 10 foes) and have 11 total pass scores.
Indiana seems to hold an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 120.8 yards and pass for 161.8 yards per game. The Maryland defense has given up 279.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 116.2 yards per game on the ground. The Hoosiers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.01 to opposing QBs, while the Terps have given up a 7.19 ANY/A.
Offensively, Penix Jr. is up to 805 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 58-of-89 attempts with six scores through the air and three interceptions. Penix Jr.’s got a sparkling 8.88 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.
On the other sideline, Tyrrell Pigrome has connected on 25-of-48 passes for 278 yards, one TD and two INTs. Pigrome’s ANY/A stands at a horrendous 3.96 for the year and 3.88 over his past two outings.
These two teams met last year with the final result being a 34-32 win for Indiana.
Indiana Hoosiers at Maryland Terrapins Free Pick
SU Winner: Indiana, ATS Winner: Indiana, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The Maryland defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 17 times this year. Indiana has registered 15 sacks.
- Maryland has lost one fumble in 2019 while Indiana has lost three.
- The Hoosiers offense has tallied six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Terrapins have put up five such plays.
- The Indiana defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Maryland has given up seven such plays.
- The Indiana offense has created six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Maryland has created 19 such runs.
- Both defenses have allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Hoosiers have given up 16 running plays of 10+ yards while the Terrapins have given up 22 such plays.
- The Over/Under for Maryland’s previous match was 52. The over cashed in that 40-14 defeat to Purdue.
- In its last three matches, Maryland is 1-2 ATS.
- In its last three matches, Indiana is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Indiana’s last game was 50. The under cashed in the team’s 35-0 victory over Rutgers.
- Indiana, as a team, has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its past three contests and 5.0 over its last two.
- Maryland has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 7.1 over its past two.
