The Florida State Seminoles and Wake Forest Demon Deacons will go toe-to-toe on the turf of BB&T Field. ACC Network has the TV rights and the matchup is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Florida State Seminoles
Florida State is the road underdog in this ACC game and is currently getting 2 points. The Seminoles are also receiving +100 moneyline odds while the Demon Deacons are -120. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 68.5 points, and if one program can find paydirt in the early stages, it will probably create a nice live betting opportunity.
Odds have moved from where they were originally placed, as the line opened at -3. The game’s total has yet to move after being set initially at 68.5.
The Seminoles are 2-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.7 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under mark of 3-3.
The Demon Deacons have gained 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3-1 ATS and also have an even O/U record of 3-3.
The Seminoles have gone 3-3 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against conference opponents. The Demon Deacons are 5-1 SU overall and 2-1 SU in conference play.
The Seminoles are on the rebound after a 45-14 loss to Clemson last week where the Seminoles completed 17-of-35 passes for 150 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. James Blackman went nine-for-23 for 66 yards and two interceptions while Alex Hornibrook completed eight-of-12 for 84 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Cam Akers (34 rushing yards on nine attempts) and Khalan Laborn (69 yards on eight carries, one TD) led the running attack while Tre’Shaun Harrison (five receptions, three yards) and D.J. Matthews (three catches, 26 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
One week ago, Louisville got the victory against this Wake Forest crew by a score of 62-59. As a group, the Deacs collectively completed 33-of-56 passes for 423 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Jamie Newman went 24-for-41 for 251 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions while Sam Hartman was nine-of-15 for 172 yards and two touchdowns. Cade Carney (95 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) and Christian Beal-Smith (123 yards on 14 carries) mounted the running game while Kendall Hinton (13 receptions, 134 yards) and Sage Surratt (12 catches, 196 yards, three TDs) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Florida State has run the ball on 48 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Wake Forest has a rush percentage of 55.3 percent. The Seminoles have rushed for 118.2 yards per game (including 97.8 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Deacs are putting up 209.5 rush yards per game (221.3 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.
If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then it seems like the Deacs should have an edge when it comes to quarterback protection, as their offensive line has yielded just eight sacks while the D-line has logged 14 sacks. The Seminoles offensive line has allowed 22 sacks and their defense has logged only 17 sacks.
The Noles offense has averaged 281.8 yards through the air overall (270.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has 15 passing scores so far. The Deacs have recorded 331 pass yards per contest (293 against ACC competition) and have 20 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Florida State has allowed 174 rush yards and 290.5 pass yards per game. The Wake Forest defense has allowed 253.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 160.5 yards per game on the ground. The Noles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.16 to opponents, while the Deacs have given up a 7.24 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Hornibrook is up to 339 yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 23-of-32 attempts with three scores through the air and one interception. He has a 10.18 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.16 over the last two games.
Jamie Newman has connected on 120-of-176 passes for 1,529 yards, 15 TDs and four INTs for Wake Forest. His ANY/A stands at 8.86 for the year and 5.59 across his past two outings.
When these two teams faced one another last year, Florida State won by three touchdowns 38-17.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Florida State, ATS Winner: Florida State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The Florida State defense has 17 sacks on the year while Wake Forest has 14.
- Wake Forest has lost two fumbles in 2019 while the Florida State offense has let four get away.
- The Seminoles offense has created nine pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Demon Deacons have accounted for seven such plays.
- The Florida State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Wake Forest has given up six such plays.
- The Florida State offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Wake Forest has created 12 such runs.
- The Seminoles defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Demon Deacons have given up nine such runs.
- The Over/Under for Wake Forest’s previous matchup was 65. The over cashed in the 62-59 loss to Louisville.
- Over its last three contests, Wake Forest is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three games, Florida State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Over/Under for Florida State’s last game was 60.5. The under cashed in the team’s 45-14 defeat to Clemson.
- Florida State, as a team, has produced 3.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.8 over its last two.
- Wake Forest has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.4 over its past two.
