The San Diego State Aztecs (-16) are set to face off against the New Mexico State Aggies at Aggie Memorial Stadium. The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: New Mexico State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs
In this Saturday matchup, San Diego State is projected as the big favorite and is currently giving up 16 points. If they want to play the moneyline, gamblers would currently have to spend $1,000 in order to win $100 back on the Aztecs (-1000). The Aggies are getting +625 moneyline odds. If one team catches a lucky break in the early stages it’ll create a nice betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 51 points.
The surprising Aztecs are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 3.5 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 0-2.
The Aggies have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 1-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.
The Aztecs are 2-0 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Aggies are 0-2 SU.
The Aztecs are looking to stay undefeated after a 23-14 win over UCLA last week where Ryan Agnew completed 23-of-31 passes for 293 yards and one touchdown. Juwan Washington (just 41 rushing yards on 20 attempts) and Jordan Byrd (19 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack while Kobe Smith (seven receptions, 131 yards, one TD) and Jesse Matthews (five catches, 59 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
One week ago, Alabama knocked off this New Mexico State team by a score of 62-10. As a group, the team collectively completed 21-of-36 passes for 161 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Josh Adkins went 19-for-30 for 145 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Matt Romero was two-of-six for 16 yards. Christian Gibson (14 yards on 10 rush attempts) and Josh Foley (51 yards on seven carries) mounted the running game as Jason Huntley (six receptions, 25 yards, one TD) and OJ Clark (four catches, 26 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
San Diego State has run the ball on 59.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Mexico State has a rush percentage of 42.6 percent. The Aztecs have produced 105 rush yards/game and have only one touchdown on the ground this year. The Aggies are putting up 98.5 rushing yards per game and have only one rush TD.
If 2019 results are any indication, then it appears the Aztecs should own the advantage in the trenches. Their offensive line has given up only 33 sacks while the D-line logged 25 sacks. The Aggies, on the other hand, have allowed 40 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 28 occasions.
The Aztecs offense has averaged 200.5 yards in the air overall and has only one passing score so far. The Aggies have recorded 191 pass yards per contest and also have only one pass TD.
Defensively, San Diego State should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 48.5 rush yards and 159 pass yards per game. The New Mexico State defense has allowed 396 yards per game to opposing passers and 214.5 yards per game on the ground. The Aztecs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.82 to opposing QBs, while the Aggies have given up a whopping 11.86 ANY/A.
Agnew likely has the edge over Adkins in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 9.00for the year and 6.20 over his last two outings. Adkins’ ANY/A is 2.94 for the year and 2.64 across his last two games.
San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico State Aggies NCAA Prediction
SU Winner: San Diego State, ATS Winner: San Diego State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The New Mexico State offense has lost three fumbles this season while San Diego State has lost one.
- The Aztecs offense has registered zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Aggies have accounted for one such play.
- The San Diego State defense has yet to allow a passing play of 40+ yards, while New Mexico State has given up three such plays.
- The San Diego State offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while New Mexico State has created two such runs.
- The Aztecs defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Aggies have given up five such runs.
- The San Diego State D has four sacks on the year while New Mexico State has one.
