The top-ranked LSU Tigers (+21) are set to pay a visit to their conference foe Ole Miss Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field. The matchup is scheduled to kick off at 7:00 p.m. ET and ESPN has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels
LSU is the heavy road favorite and is currently giving up 21 points to Ole Miss. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 64 points. If one squad finds paydirt early, it would likely result in a decent in-game betting scenario.
The line opened at 20.5 while the total hasn’t changed since it opened at 64.
The surprising Tigers have gained 5.8 units so far and are 6-2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 6-3.
The Rebels have lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 6-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-6.
The Tigers have gone 9-0 straight up (SU), including 5-0 SU against conference opponents. The Rebels are 4-6 SU overall and 2-4 SU in conference play.
The Tigers are looking to stay unbeaten after a 46-41 victory over Alabama last week. The defense allowed the Crimson Tide to pass for 418 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 123 yards. Devonta Smith shredded the defense in that one with 213 yards and two touchdowns on seven catches. Offensively, Joe Burrow completed 31-of-39 passes for 393 yards and three touchdowns. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (103 yards on 20 rush attempts, three TDs) and the signal-caller Burrow (64 yards on 14 carries) led the ground attack in the win. Edwards-Helaire (nine receptions, 77 yards, one TD) and Justin Jefferson (seven catches, 79 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Ole Miss is coming off of a lopsided 41-3 win over New Mexico State. The team’s defense held its ground in the victory, limiting the Aggies to only 127 passing yards and 66 yards on the ground. Jason Huntley had a good outing in the loss for New Mexico State, recording 45 rushing yards on seven attempts. For Ole Miss, John Rhys Plumlee completed 11-of-17 passes for 124 yards. Jerrion Ealy had a monster statline. Along with 71 yards on 14 rush attempts (and one TD), Ealy also reeled in three catches for 23 yards.
LSU has run the ball on 49.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ole Miss has a rush percentage of 62.7 percent. The Tigers have run for 159.1 yards/game (including 167.6 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 20 scores via handoffs this year. The Rebels are averaging 247.4 rush yards per game (258.3 in conference) and have 23 total rushing TDs.
The Tigers offense has averaged a stellar 379.3 yards in the air overall (350.4 per game versus conference opposition) and has 33 passing scores so far. The Rebels have recorded 187.1 pass yards per game (172 against SEC competition) and have nine total pass TDs.
LSU should have the upper hand in both areas of the defense. The team’s let opponents rush for an average of 100.7 yards and pass for 239.8 yards per game. The Ole Miss defense has allowed 274.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 122.7 yards per game on the ground. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.62 to opponents, while the Rebels have given up a 6.24 ANY/A.
Burrow has been more effective than Plumlee of late, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 11.91for the season (and 7.82 over the last two games). Plumlee’s ANY/A is 5.61 for the year and 4.34 over his last two games.
When these two programs met last year, LSU knocked Ole Miss off handily 45-16.
LSU Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Ole Miss, ATS Winner: Ole Miss, O/U: Under
Betting Trends
- The Ole Miss defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 27 times this season. LSU has registered just 21 sacks.
- Ole Miss has lost seven fumbles in 2019 while LSU has lost four.
- The Tigers offense has produced 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Rebels have accounted for three such plays.
- The LSU defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Ole Miss has given up 11 such plays.
- The LSU offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Ole Miss has created 29 such runs.
- Both teams have allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Tigers have given up 24 running plays of 10+ yards while the Rebels have given up 38 such plays.
- The Over/Under for Ole Miss’ last matchup was 64.5. The under cashed in the 41-3 win over New Mexico State.
- In its last three contests, Ole Miss is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Over its last three games, LSU is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for LSU’s last game going into it was 65. The over cashed in the team’s 46-41 victory over Alabama.
- LSU, as a team, has produced 4.0 yards per carry across its past three games and 4.1 over its last two.
- Ole Miss has averaged 5.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.0 over its past two.
