NCAA Football Betting Free Pick – Eastern Michigan Eagles at Central Michigan Chippewas

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The Eastern Michigan Eagles (-6) aren’t traveling far to face the Central Michigan Chippewas at Kelly/Shorts Stadium. This conference showdown is scheduled to get underway at 3:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can tune in to the action on ESPN+.

Betting Preview: Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles

In this Saturday Mid-American game, Eastern Michigan is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Eagles are also receiving -240 moneyline odds while the Chippewas are +190. If one program can find paydirt in the early stages it’ll create a worthwhile betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 52.5 points.

The sharp action has been siding with the Eagles, as the opening line was 5. The over/under has yet to change after it was initially placed at 52.5.

The Eagles have recorded 2.2 units so far and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 2-1-1.

The Chippewas have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team is 3-1-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-2.

The Eagles are 3-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any MAC competition yet. The Chippewas are 2-3 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play.

These two teams met last year with the final result being a 17-7 win for Eastern Michigan.

Eastern Michigan enters this contest on a zero-game winless skid while Central Michigan has won zero in a row. The Eagles are coming off a 34-29 victory over Central Connecticut State on September 21. The Eagles defense allowed the Blue Devils to run for 115 yards on 35 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. On the offense, Mike Glass III completed 26 passes for 279 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions. Quian Williams (eight receptions, 115 yards, two TDs) and Dylan Drummond (six catches, 35 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

One week ago, Western Michigan knocked off this Central Michigan team by a score of 31-15. David Moore completed 33-of-48 passes for 330 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Jonathan Ward (107 yards on 19 rush attempts) led the running game as Kalil Pimpleton (six receptions, 51 yards) and Tyrone Scott (six catches, 81 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Each of these teams has a strikingly similar (46-54) run-pass ratio on the season. The Eagles have run for 102.5 yards/game and have two scores on the ground this year. The Chippewas are totaling 117.2 rush yards per game (148 in conference) and have seven total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Chippewas should hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency, since their running backs has generated 3.6 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Eagles have recorded 3.3 yards per carry while allowing 4.1 YPC to opponents.

The Eagles offensive scheme has logged 280 yards per game through the air overall and has 12 passing TDs so far. The Chippewas have recorded 243.8 pass yards per contest (337 against MAC competition) and have six total pass scores.

Defensively, Eastern Michigan has allowed opponents to run for an average of 148.8 yards and pass for 263.5 yards per game. The Central Michigan D has allowed 275 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.0 yards per game on the ground. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.02 to opponents, while the Chippewas have given up a 7.89 ANY/A.

Moore has completed 56-of-90 passes for 647 yards, three TDs and two INTs. Moore’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.34 for the season and 3.50 over his last two games. In the other huddle, Glass III has put up 804 passing yards this year, and has completed 80-of-114 attempts with nine passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Glass III’s got a 6.70 ANY/A for the year, although that number sits at 8.41 over the past two outings.

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Central Michigan Chippewas NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Eastern Michigan, ATS Winner: Eastern Michigan, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Over/Under for Eastern Michigan’s last game was 63. The O/U pushed in the team’s 34-29 win over Central Connecticut State.
  • As a team, Eastern Michigan has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.7 over its last two.
  • Central Michigan has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 2.3 over its past two.
  • Central Michigan has lost seven fumbles this season while Eastern Michigan has lost two.
  • In its last three matches, Eastern Michigan is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Central Michigan’s last match was set at 62.5. The under cashed in the 31-15 loss to Western Michigan.
  • In its last three matchups, Central Michigan is 2-0-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Central Michigan has dropped four of its last five games SU, with a 21-point victory over Akron on September 14th accounting for its only win over that stretch.
  • The Eagles offense has tallied two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Chippewas have put up one such play.
  • The Eastern Michigan defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Central Michigan has given up three such plays.
  • Both teams have produced two rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Eastern Michigan offense has recorded 14 running plays of 10+ yards while Central Michigan has accounted for 15 such plays.
  • The Eagles defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Chippewas have given up four such runs.
  • The Central Michigan D has sacked opposing QBs 12 times this year. Eastern Michigan has produced 11 sacks.