The Texas Rangers are trying to avoid dropping their fourth in a row when they play host to the Minnesota Twins at Globe Life Park. Fox Sports North will televise this AL showdown and the action gets underway at 3:05 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers Odds
Minnesota (receiving +120) is entering this one as the underdog to Texas (-130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 11 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). You can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -175 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +155 for the Rangers -1.5 runs.
The Rangers are 60-63 straight up (SU) and 70-52 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 8.7 units for moneyline bettors and 10.7 units ATS. Texas has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Twins are 75-48 SU and have gone 67-55 against the spread. In total, the club has gained 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.6 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Texas games have a 56-63-3 over/under record in 2019. The Twins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 63-54-5.
The southpaw Martin Perez is projected to start for the visiting Twins. Perez is 8-5 with a 4.57 ERA and 109 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Texas this year.
The Rangers will put the ball in the right hand of Lance Lynn (14-8, 3.54 ERA), who’s got 184 strikeouts and 41 walks this season as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Lynn hasn’t faced the Twins yet this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.
As a unit, Texas’ pitchers have yielded 5.3 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.09, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Texas hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .266/.347/.458 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo have led the Rangers’ batters this year. Andrus is slashing .283/.320/.412 with nine home runs, 58 RBIs, 59 runs and 25 stolen bases, and Choo is hitting .271 with 19 homers, 46 RBIs and 74 runs.
For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.97 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.44, along with a K-per-9 of 9.29.
Twins hitters have slashed .271/.340/.500 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game this season, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario, who have combined to drive in 140 runs. Polanco is slashing .293/.355/.483 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Rosario (.281/.307/.522) has produced 27 homers, 81 RBIs and 74 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 18.4 units and are 50-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rangers have netted 1.4 units and are 24-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, compared to 17 which went under the total.
Twins vs. Rangers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just two of Texas’ last seven games.
- The Twins have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .840 this season and an OPS of .824 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Rangers’ OPS stands at .766 overall and .774 against righties.
- Texas has recorded 18.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.
- The Rangers have lost five of their last six games SU.
