Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins are heading south to take on the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox Sports North is in line to televise this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Bookmakers have Miami (+140) as the underdog to Minnesota (-150). You can play game’s total with current odds listed at even money (+100) for over 8.5 runs and -120 for under 8.5. There’s a runline of Twins -1.5 (-105) and Marlins +1.5 (-115) for this matchup.
The Twins have gone 64-41 SU this year and are 57-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.5 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 41-63 SU and 53-50 ATS. The team has lost 1.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units ATS.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 44-52-7 in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 52-48-5.
Right-hander Jake Odorizzi is projected to start for Minnesota. Odorizzi is 11-5 with a 3.84 ERA and 108 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Marlins will send Zac Gallen (1-2, 2.76 ERA) to the mound. Gallen has 35 strikeouts and 15 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Gallen did not record any MLB appearances in 2018.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.87 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.32 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.37, along with a K/9 of 9.36.
Twins hitters have slashed .271/.340/.502 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Max Kepler, who collectively have swatted 44 home runs. Polanco is hitting .305/.363/.512 with 16 home runs, 52 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Kepler has a .262 average with 28 homers, 72 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
For the home team, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.08, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Miami’s hitters have put up 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .255/.299/.427 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
First baseman Miguel Rojas and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Rojas is slashing .289/.344/.382 with four home runs, 33 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Castro’s line is .250/.278/.357 with eight homers, 43 RBIs and 29 runs.
Twins at Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Minnesota has recorded 22 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Miami has 13 XBH over its last five.
- The Twins have won three of their last four games SU while the Marlins have taken five of their last six.
- The Minnesota defense has coughed up seven errors over the last five games, compared to just three errors for Miami over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 28 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 11 over their last 10.
