The Minnesota Twins will be facing off against their division rival Detroit Tigers in a Monday showdown. Fox Sports North will be showing the matchup and the first pitch will be at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Odds
Vegas is listing Minnesota (-200) as the favorite over Detroit (+185). The total stands at 10 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. Runline odds sit at -140 for picking the Twins -1.5 runs and +120 for the Tigers +1.5 runs.
The Twins have gone 84-52 SU this year and are 76-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 16.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 40-94 SU and 54-79 ATS. They’ve lost 33.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 32.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Tigers games have an over/under record of 61-63-9 in 2019. Minnesota has been a good over bet with a total record of 72-58-5.
Jake Odorizzi will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Odorizzi is 14-6 with a 3.55 ERA and 145 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 0.69 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).
The Tigers are going with righty Jordan Zimmermann (1-9, 6.24 ERA), who has 66 strikeouts and 22 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.42. Zimmermann is 0-1 with a 15.00 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Detroit’s pitchers have yielded 5.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 5.36 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.99 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 59 games against divisional foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.51 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.27.
Detroit’s offense has produced 3.6 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .271/.291/.453 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led the Tigers’ hitters this year. Cabrera is slashing .281/.343/.390 with nine home runs, 51 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Castellanos has put up a line of .273/.328/.462 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.13 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.42 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.24, along with a K-per-9 of 9.40.
The Twins offense has slashed .273/.342/.503 on its way to 6.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 9.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Minnesota’s offensive production has been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario, who have combined to launch 47 home runs. Polanco is slashing .302/.366/.497 with 20 home runs, 69 RBIs and 91 runs scored, while Rosario (.282/.305/.502) is up to 27 homers, 92 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 18.7 units and are 57-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 53 of those games, as opposed to 47 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 30.3 units and are 38-66 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under.
Twins at Tigers Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Minnesota has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five games. Detroit has 18 XBH over its last five.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .844 this season and an OPS of .828 against right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .683 overall and .671 against righties.
- The Twins have won seven of their last eight games SU.
- Minnesota has recorded 27.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 34.8 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
