The ice-cold Detroit Tigers are trying to avoid losing their sixth consecutive game as they play host to the Minnesota Twins at Comerica Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will be showing the action.
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Odds
The Twins have gone 82-51 SU this year and are 74-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 16.3 units for moneyline bettors and 11.4 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 39-92 SU and 53-77 ATS. They’ve lost 32.4 units for moneyline bettors and 31.1 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Tigers games have an over/under record of 59-62-9 in 2019. The Twins have been a good over bet with a total record of 69-58-5.
The right-handed Kyle Gibson is projected to start for Minnesota. Gibson is 12-6 with a 4.49 ERA and 141 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 7.84 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).
The Tigers are turning to righty Edwin Jackson (3-7, 8.70 ERA), who has 38 strikeouts and 22 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.87. Jackson is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Detroit’s pitchers have yielded 5.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.24 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 56 games against AL Central foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.24.
The Detroit hitters have produced 3.6 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .213/.241/.299 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Tigers’ hitters have been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is hitting .279/.341/.388 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and Castellanos is batting .273 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.05 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.36 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.28, along with a K-per-9 of 9.31.
The Twins offense has slashed .272/.341/.502 on its way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have led Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is slashing .296/.361/.491 with 19 home runs, 66 RBIs and 87 runs scored. Rosario is hitting .283/.306/.508 with 27 homers, 88 RBIs and 76 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 16.7 units and are 55-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 51 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 28.3 units and are 38-64 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 52 that went under the total.
Twins vs. Tigers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Twins have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .842 this season and an OPS of .824 against right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .678 overall and .669 against righties.
- Detroit has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.4 over its last five.
- The Tigers have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
