Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins are set to do battle against their divisional rival Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field in a Saturday showdown. The game gets underway 4:12 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will showcase the matchup.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Odds
Las Vegas has Chicago (+145) as the underdog to Minnesota (-155). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish under 10.5 runs, then bookmakers are putting up -110 odds. Picking the over will return -110 odds. This game currently has a runline of Twins -1.5 (-110) and White Sox +1.5 (-110).
The White Sox are 38-41 straight up (SU) and 37-41 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 8.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 7.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Twins have gone 52-29 SU this year and are 45-35 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 19.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.9 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Chicago games have had an over/under record of 37-39-2 so far in 2019. The Twins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 41-34-5.
Michael Pineda will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Pineda is 4-4 with a 5.02 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The White Sox will turn to righty Ivan Nova (3-6, 5.91 ERA), who has 58 strikeouts and 24 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.57. Nova only made one start against the Twins in 2018 (0-1, 8.44 ERA and three strikeouts across 5.1 innings).
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.73 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.28, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 9.14.
The Twins offense has slashed .270/.339/.495 on its way to 5.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario continue to lead Minnesota’s offense. Polanco is slashing .319/.376/.525 with 11 home runs, 39 RBIs and 51 runs scored. Rosario (.282/.312/.529) is up to 20 homers, 60 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
For the home team, Chicago’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.43, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 33 games against AL Central opponents, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.20.
The Chicago offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .282/.328/.425 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Tim Anderson and third baseman Yoan Moncada have led the White Sox hitters this year. Anderson is slashing .317/.342/.491 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 39 runs and 15 steals, while Moncada’s line is .299/.353/.518 with 13 homers, 42 RBIs and 42 runs.
The Twins have gained 15.2 units and are 32-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have netted 1.9 units and are 23-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 25 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve cashed the under.
Twins vs. White Sox Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in three of Chicago’s last seven games.
- Minnesota has posted 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.2 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit 13 over their last 10.
- The Twins have an OPS of .834 this season and an OPS of .821 when facing right-handed pitchers. The White Sox’ OPS sits at .722 overall and .719 versus righties.
