The Boston Red Sox are facing off against the Minnesota Twins at Fenway Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will be televising this AL matchup.
Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (-130) is favored against Minnesota (+120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 11 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s runline odds sit at -175 for taking the Twins +1.5 runs and +155 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Red Sox are 74-64 straight up (SU) and 57-80 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 19.3 units for moneyline bettors and 30.9 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Twins are 86-52 SU and have gone 77-60 against the spread. In total, the team’s accumulated 18.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.9 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Boston games have had an over/under record of 79-55-3 in 2019. Minnesota has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 73-59-5.
Jose Berrios will get the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Berrios (11-7, 3.57 ERA) has racked up 163 strikeouts in 169 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.13 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox will turn to lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (16-5, 3.97 ERA), who has 160 strikeouts and 62 walks, along with a 1.36 WHIP. Rodriguez is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 5.04 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.
Boston’s offense is putting up 5.8 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .230/.311/.471 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Devers is slashing .320/.369/.579 with 29 home runs, 107 RBIs and 114 runs scored, while Bogaerts is hitting .310 with 31 homers, 103 RBIs and 102 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.46 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.23, along with a K/9 of 9.42.
Twins hitters have slashed .273/.342/.502 on their way to 5.9 runs scored per game this season, including 7.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have led Minnesota’s offense. Polanco is hitting .304/.367/.495 with 20 home runs, 69 RBIs and 92 runs scored, while Rosario (.281/.304/.499) has produced 27 homers, 92 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 1.9 units and are 19-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 5.6 units and are 41-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 53 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve cashed the under.
Twins at Red Sox MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of Boston’s last seven games.
- The Twins have hit 23 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .844 this season and an OPS of .885 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .828 overall and .805 against lefties.
- Boston has recorded 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.
- The Twins have won nine of their last 10 games SU.
