Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will be hitting the diamond against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park in a Saturday night game. Fox Sports North will televise this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 8:05 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers Odds
Sportsbooks have Texas (+150) as the underdog to Minnesota (-160). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go under 11 runs, then bookmakers are currently offering -105 odds. Taking the over return -115 odds. This game currently has a runline of Twins -1.5 (-110) and Rangers +1.5 (-110).
The Rangers are 60-62 straight up (SU) and 70-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.7 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. On the other hand, the Twins have gone 74-48 SU this year and are 66-55 against the spread. Overall, the team’s gained 15.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.6 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Rangers games have had an over/under record of 56-62-3 in 2019. The Twins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 63-53-5.
Jose Berrios will get the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Berrios is 10-6 with a 3.29 ERA and 144 strikeouts. He has yet to face Texas this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 1-1 record with a 4.09 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
The Rangers are sending righty Ariel Jurado (6-8, 5.31 ERA) to the mound. Jurado has 72 strikeouts and 30 walks as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Jurado is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Minnesota this year.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.49, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 9.33.
The Twins offense has slashed .269/.339/.499 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario have led Minnesota’s offense. Polanco is hitting .290/.352/.479 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .285 with 27 homers, 80 RBIs and 73 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Texas’ pitchers have given up 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.07, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
Texas’ offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .257/.337/.469 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Rangers’ offense has been led by Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo. Andrus is hitting .284/.321/.414 with nine home runs, 58 RBIs, 58 runs and 25 stolen bases, and Choo’s line is .267/.371/.471 with 19 homers, 45 RBIs and 73 runs.
The Twins have gained 18.4 units and are 50-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rangers have netted 8.4 units and are 46-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 35 of those games, compared to 45 that went under the total.
Twins vs. Rangers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in five of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Rangers have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- Minnesota has posted 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
- The Twins have an OPS of .837 this season and an OPS of .821 against right-handed pitchers. The Rangers’ OPS stands at .766 overall and .773 against righties.
