Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will head east to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will be televising this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets Odds
Bookmakers have New York (-215) as the favorite over Minnesota (+195). The total currently stands at 6.5 runs and bettors can play the over or the under for -110. There’s a runline of Twins +1.5 (-110) and Mets -1.5 (-110) for this matchup.
Each team has treated gamblers well this year. The Mets are 6-3 straight up (SU) and 6-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.9 units ATS. On the other hand, the Twins have gone 5-3 SU this year and are 5-3 ATS. Overall, the club has accumulated 2.4 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the year and 2.2 units ATS.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 7-2 thus far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 4-4.
Kyle Gibson (0-0, 9.64 ERA) is getting the start for Minnesota. The right-handed Gibson recorded 179 strikeouts across 196 innings last year (32 starts) while finishing the season 10-13 overall with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP.
The Mets are turning to righty Jacob deGrom (2-0, 0.00 ERA), who struck out 269 hitters over 217 innings last year (with only 46 walks), while finishing the season 10-9 overall with a 1.70 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.73 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 9.88 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.70, along with a K-per-9 of 7.80.
The Twins offense has slashed .256/.334/.415 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s offense has been powered by shortstop Jorge Polanco and right fielder Max Kepler. Polanco is hitting .375/.429/.688 with 12 hits, one RBI and four runs scored, while Kepler (.265/.324/.529) is up to nine hits, three homers, six RBIs and four runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.60, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.6. The bullpen has a 5.93 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and 10.4 K/9.
The New York hitters are putting up 5.8 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .256/.332/.455 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Pete Alonso and right fielder Michael Conforto have led the way for the Mets’ batters this year. Alonso is slashing .382/.432/.824 with three home runs, 11 RBIs and six runs scored, while Conforto’s line is .351/.415/.595 with 13 hits, four RBIs and nine runs.
The Twins have gained 2.4 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in four of those games, as opposed to four that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 1.9 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to two that’ve cashed the under.
Twins vs. Mets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Twins and Mets did not face each other in 2018.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .749 this season and an OPS of .745 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .778 overall and their right / left split is nearly identical.
