The Miami Marlins are set to host the Minnesota Twins at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will showcase this interleague showdown.
Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (receiving +165 odds) is stepping into this one as a solid underdog against Minnesota and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Twins -1.5 runs (-120) and Marlins +1.5 runs (+100).
The Twins have gone 65-41 SU this year and are 57-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 14.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.5 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 41-64 SU and 54-50 ATS. The team has lost 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.9 units ATS.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 45-52-7 in 2019. Minnesota has an over/under record of 52-48-5.
Right-hander Jose Berrios will get the start for Minnesota. Berrios (9-5, 2.94 ERA) has racked up 122 punchouts in 134.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of righty Sandy Alcantara (4-9, 4.18 ERA), who has 84 strikeouts and 55 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.45. Alcantara did not register a start against the Twins in 2018.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.06, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Miami’s offense has produced 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .247/.292/.411 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Miguel Rojas and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the Marlins’ offense this year. Rojas is slashing .289/.343/.381 with four home runs, 33 RBIs and 41 runs scored, and Castro is hitting .250 with eight homers, 43 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.84 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.33, along with a K/9 of 9.37.
Twins hitters have slashed .270/.339/.500 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game this year, including 6.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Max Kepler continue to lead Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is slashing .303/.362/.508 with 16 home runs, 52 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Kepler is hitting .262/.333/.537 with 28 homers, 72 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
Twins at Marlins Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Minnesota has recorded 21 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 14 XBH over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 28 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .839 this season and an OPS of .829 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .657 overall and .649 versus righties.
- Miami has recorded 16.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.
- The Twins have won four of their last five games SU.
