Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will make a road trip to Detroit to face a divisional nemesis in the Tigers at Comerica Park. The matchup will get underway at 6:40 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports North.
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds
Las Vegas has Detroit (+205) as the underdog to Minnesota (-225). You can play game’s total with current odds posted at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. There’s a runline of Twins -1.5 (-150) and Tigers +1.5 (+130) for this matchup.
The Tigers are 46-109 straight up (SU) and 64-91 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 39.7 units for moneyline bettors and 32.9 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 96-60 SU and have gone 86-70 against the spread. In total, the club has gained 18.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.3 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Tigers games have had an over/under record of 69-74-12 in 2019. Minnesota has been a decent over bet with a total record of 80-71-5.
Jake Odorizzi is getting the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Odorizzi (14-7, 3.59 ERA) has racked up 171 strikeouts in 152 innings so far. He’s 2-0 with 20 strikeouts and a 2.00 ERA against Detroit this year (three starts).
The Tigers will deploy righty Spencer Turnbull (3-15, 4.66 ERA) to the mound. Turnbull has 134 punchouts and 56 walks as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Turnbull is 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.97 ERA over two starts against Minnesota this year.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.23 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.50 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.22, along with a K/9 of 9.62.
Twins hitters have slashed .270/.341/.495 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s offensive production has been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario, who’ve collectively launched 53 home runs. Polanco is slashing .299/.362/.490 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 106 runs scored, while Rosario (.278/.301/.501) is up to 31 homers, 104 RBIs and 90 runs scored.
For the home team, Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 5.7 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 5.56, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 69 divisional games, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.02.
The Detroit hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .256/.282/.387 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have paced the Tigers’ hitters this year. Cabrera is hitting .285/.350/.391 with 10 home runs, 56 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Castellanos has put up a line of .273/.328/.462 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 19.9 units and are 66-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 58 of those games, compared to 58 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 37.0 units and are 45-75 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 49 of those games, as opposed to 61 that’ve cashed the under.
Twins vs. Tigers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in just one of Detroit’s last seven games.
- The Twins have won three of their last four games SU.
- Minnesota fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only six errors for Detroit over its last 10.
- The Twins have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .835 this season and an OPS of .821 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .688 overall and .679 against righties.
