Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Free Pick

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Jorge Polanco and the surging Minnesota Twins will be taking the field against their divisional rival Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in a Thursday showdown. Fox Sports North will be televising the action and the game will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

The Twins have gone 98-60 SU this year and are 87-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.9 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 46-111 SU and 64-92 ATS. They’ve lost 40.7 units for moneyline bettors and 33.9 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Detroit games have had an over/under record of 69-75-12 in 2019. Minnesota has been a decent over bet with a total record of 80-72-5.

Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.18 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.19, along with a K-per-9 of 9.63.

Twins hitters have slashed .270/.340/.493 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario continue to lead Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is slashing .297/.359/.489 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 107 runs scored, while Rosario (.278/.302/.505) is up to 32 homers, 108 RBIs and 91 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 5.7 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 5.52 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.95 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 71 games against divisional opponents, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.44 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.08.

The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .230/.253/.358 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led the Tigers’ batters this year. Cabrera is slashing .282/.348/.388 with 10 home runs, 56 RBIs and 39 runs scored, and the line for Castellanos stands at .273/.328/.462 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs.

The Twins have gained 20.9 units and are 67-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 58 of those games, compared to 59 that’ve gone under against y starters.

Twins vs. Tigers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have won five of their last six games SU while the Tigers have lost seven of their last eight.
  • Minnesota fielders have 12 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only six errors for Detroit over its last 10.
  • The Twins have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit six over their last 10.