The Minnesota Twins are traveling east to Progressive Field to play their divisional rival Cleveland Indians. Fox Sports North will be showing the matchup and the game will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Vegas is listing Cleveland (+110) as the underdog to Minnesota (-120). If you think the game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -105 odds. Taking the over will give you -115 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +125 for the Twins -1.5 runs and -145 for the Indians +1.5.
The Indians are 86-61 straight up (SU) and 80-67 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.3 units ATS. The Twins are 89-57 SU and have gone 81-64 against the spread. In total, the team’s accumulated 18.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.9 units ATS.
Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 63-80-4 in 2019. Minnesota has been a decent over bet with a total record of 73-67-5.
Jake Odorizzi is getting the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Odorizzi is 14-6 with a 3.60 ERA and 162 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 29 strikeouts and a 1.61 ERA against Cleveland this year (four starts).
The Indians will turn to righty Aaron Civale (3-3, 1.93 ERA), who’s got 38 punchouts and 12 walks, in addition to a 1.05 WHIP. Civale is 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.64 ERA over two starts against Minnesota this year.
Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.73, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 67 games against divisional opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 3.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.01.
The Cleveland hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .263/.354/.462 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Indians’ hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana. Lindor is slashing .296/.346/.545 with 31 home runs, 70 RBIs, 90 runs and 21 steals, and Santana’s line is .283/.402/.535 with 34 homers, 87 RBIs and 101 runs.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.17 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.49 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.25, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
The Twins offense has slashed .270/.340/.495 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is hitting .299/.361/.489 with 21 home runs, 74 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Rosario (.274/.297/.486) has produced 28 homers, 95 RBIs and 81 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 21.8 units and are 62-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 54 of those games, as opposed to 55 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 3.5 units and are 51-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 59 that’ve gone under.
Twins vs. Indians Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in seven of Cleveland’s last seven games.
- The Twins have an OPS of .835 this season and an OPS of .822 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .763 overall and .762 versus righties.
- The Twins have dropped three of their last four games SU.
- Minnesota has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.2 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
