The red-hot Cleveland Indians are seeking their seventh consecutive win as they play host to the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will televise the game.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Vegas is listing Cleveland (-120) as the favorite over Minnesota (+110). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over nine runs and -115 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -190 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +165 for the Indians -1.5.
The Twins have gone 56-33 SU this year and are 49-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 16.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 50-38 SU and 44-44 ATS. They’ve lost 1.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Cleveland games have a 39-46-3 over/under record so far in 2019. The Twins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 45-39-5.
Kyle Gibson will get the start for Minnesota. The right-handed Gibson is 8-4 with a 4.09 ERA and 94 strikeouts. This will be his first start against Cleveland this year. He did make five starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 1-3 record with a 4.66 ERA and 23 strikeouts.
The Indians are handing the ball to righty Mike Clevinger (2-2, 4.44 ERA), who has 40 strikeouts and 10 walks, along with a 0.99 WHIP. Clevinger made three starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record with a 2.29 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
As a unit, Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 4.21 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.48 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 36 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 4.03 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.92.
Cleveland’s hitters have put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .335/.414/.605 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ offense has been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor. Santana is hitting .297/.418/.540 with 19 home runs, 52 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Lindor is batting .296 with 14 homers, 32 RBIs, 45 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.77 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.30, along with a K-per-9 of 9.36.
Twins hitters have slashed .272/.338/.497 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario continue to lead Minnesota’s offense. Polanco is slashing .312/.368/.514 with 13 home runs, 42 RBIs and 57 runs scored. Rosario is hitting .282/.312/.529 with 20 homers, 60 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 14.0 units and are 36-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 5.7 units and are 29-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under.
Twins vs. Indians MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in three of Minnesota’s last seven outings.
- Each team has swatted 17 home runs over its last 10 games.
- The Twins have a total OPS of .835 this season and an OPS of .823 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .741 overall and .764 against righties.
- Minnesota has posted 26.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.0 over its last five.
